Unsurprisingly, housing costs have been on the front line of affordability politics. Some politicians have advocated rent freezes or controls as a means of relief. Federal policymakers, including the president, have advocated severely restricting how institutional investors can invest in and own single-family homes to moderate house prices, and for government institutions to support 50-year mortgages to lower monthly payments. Both sets of policies would introduce new inefficiencies to deal with the symptoms of housing market dysfunction, rather than address the underlying drivers of high prices.
Like all prices, house prices are determined by the interaction of demand and supply. As incomes and the population grow, the demand for housing services increases. For decades, federal policy has amplified this demand with support from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the Federal Reserve’s direct purchases of mortgage-backed securities. These interventions expand borrowing capacity and have contributed to structurally higher housing demand.
Even more important dysfunctions come on the supply side. For example, there is broad evidence that decades of restrictive land-use regulations explain a significant portion of high house prices. These laws—zoning rules, urban growth boundaries, height restrictions, and more—limit the responsiveness of the housing supply relative to growing demand, particularly in high-growth metropolitan areas. The result of the growing gap between the desired housing and what actually gets built is rising prices.
The cost of construction also matters. Federal and state laws that artificially increase the cost of both materials and labor drive up prices too. Overall, misguided policy means we are left with millions fewer homes than people want or would be willing to pay for, given other conditions in the market.
Unwinding federal demand support is a worthy long-term goal toward creating a more efficient housing sector. But the near-term effect will be worse affordability for some. The simplest and best solution to improving housing affordability today is therefore expanding all types of housing options by removing government-imposed barriers to and cost pressures on new construction.