Rail enthusiasts envision a nationwide high-speed system, but California’s failed high-speed project has shown that view to be pie in the sky. On the other side, rail skeptics argue that there is no reason for passenger rail at all because airlines, buses, or automobiles are better than rail on every route. This view may be too pessimistic—perhaps entrepreneurs could cut costs and innovate to make rail financially viable in some places.
The problem today is that government ownership has locked passenger rail into a high-cost, low-innovation straightjacket. Privately owned freight rail has vastly improved performance in recent decades, but government-owned passenger rail has stagnated. While airlines and intercity buses have increased efficiencies, unionized and politically driven Amtrak plods on.
Amtrak faces many competitive challenges. On speed, airlines outcompete Amtrak on door-to-door trip times over about 300 miles; on shorter trips, buses often outcompete Amtrak. On fares, intercity buses are usually cheaper than Amtrak. On safety, fatality rates per billion passenger miles are lower for aviation and intercity buses than for rail. And on the environment, intercity buses use less energy and produce fewer carbon emissions than passenger rail.
To better compete, passenger rail needs to be greatly improved. That has not happened for the past half century with Amtrak trapped inside a bureaucracy and manipulated by Congress. Government-owned rail is a dead end of subsidies and poor performance. It is time for a change.
Congress should privatize Amtrak, repeal political control, rescind union and Buy America rules, and let entrepreneurs experiment with routes, rolling stock, and other rail parameters. Entrepreneurs could harness new technologies—such as automation and AI—to drive new efficiencies.
Freight rail illustrates how entrepreneurship can invigorate an industry. The outlook was bleak when major railroads went bankrupt in the 1970s. Congress created Conrail to consolidate the failed freight railroads, pumping in $7 billion of subsidies. Fortunately, Congress then changed direction and deregulated freight rail in the Staggers Rail Act of 1980 and privatized Conrail in 1987.
Since then, US freight rail has boomed. Between 1980 and 2000, the rail industry had strong earnings, lowered energy intensity, and cut real freight rates by 38 percent. Between 1980 and 2008, total factor productivity in rail grew much faster than in the overall private sector. Accident rates also fell substantially in the freight rail industry after 1980. Privatization and deregulation have had dramatic success.
In recent years, the main (Class I) freight railroads have innovated with the adoption of Precision Scheduled Railroading (PSR), which favors trains with mixed shipments running on tighter schedules with less terminal dwell time. PSR has allowed railroads to downsize their assets and workforces substantially, thus boosting productivity.
The first convert to PSR was the Canadian National Railway Company (CN). Industrial relations professor Carol Beatty said that under government ownership, CN was “one of the worst railroads in North America, highly indebted, perpetually in the red, and losing market share to the more efficient, flexible and newly deregulated U.S. railway and trucking industries.”
The Canadian government privatized CN in 1995, which allowed the new COO and later CEO, Hunter Harrison, to transform the company with his PSR innovations. Beatty explains: