In a July 3 opinion piece on CoinDesk, Ariel Deschapell wrote frankly about the constraint that a one-megabyte block size may put on adoption. "A consumer using bitcoin for the first time and running into a severe confirmation delay for a retail transaction might very well get turned off," he wrote. That very thing recently happened to New York Times reporter Nathaniel Popper, who shared his experience widely.
But to Deschapell, the daily spending use case is "largely a dream." Today's use case, he wrote, is investment. Everyday spending of bitcoins will wait at least until investment growth brings bitcoin's still-significant volatility under control, he argued.
In a similar commentary on the blog of the Foundation for Economic Education, Vivek Rajasekhar echoed Deschapell on the minimal use case for payments with reference to fees, which have risen under the transaction-throughput limit.
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"[T]here's little evidence," Rajasekhar wrote, "that bitcoin's users are concerned about the cost of using the network." And later: "cheap is not what bitcoin's real users are looking for."
While their observations are accurate, Deschapell's and Rajasekhar's embrace of the status quo in bitcoin use struck me. My own belief has been that a substantial goal of the bitcoin community is to increase global financial inclusion. Indeed, when an ascendant Bitcoin Foundation commissioned me to study impediments to bitcoin's success in late 2013, each person I interviewed cited the opportunity bitcoin presents to get people in the poorer parts of the world into a financial system that that allows them to securely trade and save for their own betterment. Greater autonomy, liberty, and financial privacy for all would be a natural, parallel outgrowth.
In that view, the investment use case is a means to an end. Yes, it is gratifying to see bitcoin adoption increasing among mainstream investors, but that doesn't alleviate the daily human toll of poverty and oppression. Getting bitcoin into daily use around the globe remains a badly unmet urgency.
The "fee market" produced by small blocks — the writer and researcher Konrad Graf calls it a market for artificially scarce transaction-inclusion services — is a fairly significant setback to the "global benefits" use case. Transaction fees that are trivial to the world's rich may be a substantial barrier to adoption for the world's poor, who may benefit from bitcoin the most.
The benefits of the proposed Lightning Network seem clear, but this second-layer bitcoin protocol, meant to allow essentially limitless instantaneous transactions, must overcome certain hurdles. It remains unclear how payment routing will work or whether it will become a centralized payment system of the type bitcoin was meant to surpass. Lightning's benefits to global financial inclusion await both the development of the technology itself, and then the economic and human capital of both worldwide Lightning nodes and the knowledge to use them.
Pushing simple bitcoin adoption in the global south has been a challenge, and it has by no means been met. The block size constraint produces additional barriers.
The reason for maintenance of the current limit on blocks is, of course, to avoid the centralizing influence of bigger blocks on bitcoin mining and nodes. Centralization could allow bitcoin's immutability to be undercut by miners themselves or by governments commandeering miners. Given these threats, Deschapell wrote with emphasis, "if bitcoin can ... be scaled without sacrificing any degree of decentralization, then this is clearly the path that should be taken." It's a value-laden recommendation, strongly phrased, and it gives primacy to the investment use case for bitcoin, diminishing (by delay) the financial inclusion use-case.
Giving preference to investors over a larger global user base also implies a different strategy for protecting bitcoin from government attacks (which appear more salient than miner attacks). Limiting the block size may inure bitcoin structurally by keeping mining and nodes more dispersed. Growing the bitcoin user base may inure bitcoin politically by making it as integral to society as the internet itself.
In trade-offs among values, there are no right or wrong answers (and there is often no one question). But at the risk of oversimplification, the question comes down to this: Should bitcoin most serve investors while one form of attack resistance — decentralization — is burnished? Or should the bitcoin community refocus on the global financial inclusion goal while burnishing another form of attack resistance through widespread adoption?
Deschapell and Rajasekhar have contributed by opening avenues for discussion of our values, and strategies for advancing them. It's a tall order for a community of computer nerds, but participants in the blocksize debate who know where their values lie should express them. They will do a better job of negotiating the progress of bitcoin toward widely agreed upon ends.