The adoption of taxpayer financing for the 2000 election did not result in a substantially more competitive election than occurred under private funding in 1998. Although enhanced electoral competition has been predicted as a result of clean election reforms, the evidence from Maine implies the opposite. Comparison of districts that had “clean” candidates in 2000 with those that did not indicates that the clean districts displayed no improvement on two of three measures of electoral competitiveness and actually performed far worse on a third.
Specifically, clean districts exhibited no difference in victory margins or in contestedness–the frequency with which candidates were unopposed–relative to “nonclean” districts. However, in the case of openness–the tendency of incumbents to run–clean districts were far more likely to have incumbents running in 2000 and far more likely to have switched from an open race in 1998 to one in which an incumbent was running in 2000.
An empirical analysis of the Maine election supports the following conclusions:
- The overall average margin of victory in both state senate and house races declined by a statistically insignificant margin.
- Races for open seats that featured government‐financed candidates do not clearly show that taxpayer financing leads to more competitive elections.
- Despite limits on campaign spending by incumbents, the advantages of holding office were almost impossible to overcome.