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Social Security’s Trust Fund Promo - Piggy Bank with Fishing Hook
Visual Feature

Social Security’s Financial Crisis: The Trust Fund Myth Uncovered

Most people misunderstand the Social Security trust fund. They believe it holds real financial assets that ensure future benefits—the equivalent of a piggy bank stuffed with dollar bills. But there’s a big problem: the piggy bank is empty. 

Learn more in our latest interactive visual feature.

Cato’s new survey finds that Americans know about Social Security’s financial challenges and are worried about their future benefits. Many, especially younger generations, are open to fundamental reform—a shift toward a flat, anti-poverty benefit system.


Cato has developed a Social Security model capable of scoring a wide range of reform options. We are willing to score external proposals from researchers, members of Congress, and federal agency personnel. Our goal is to provide results within one week, though timing may vary depending on the proposal’s complexity.

If you have a proposal you’d like us to score, contact our team at socialsecurity@​cato.​org.

Payroll tax hike calculator

According to the latest report from the Social Security Trustees, Congress would need to raise the payroll tax rate immediately and permanently from 12.4 to 16.05 percent to close the program’s funding shortfall.

This interactive tool shows how much your annual Social Security taxes would rise under such an increase. Enter your current yearly salary to see the difference.

Enter your yearly salary to see how payroll tax changes would affect you. Values range from $5,000 to $176,100.

Social Security payroll taxes

Note: The Social Security payroll tax applies only to annual earnings up to $176,100. Additional earnings beyond this level are not subject to the tax.

Featured Analyses: Cutting Through the Myths

Social Security is surrounded by myths that stand in the way of reform. Cato’s research dispels these misconceptions and outlines a path toward lasting reform.

Fast Facts and Commentary: The Raw Deal, Exposed

Social Security is an intergenerational income transfer program that’s becoming an increasingly bad deal for younger generations. Cato’s quick takes expose this dynamic and reveal the true scale of the program’s financial challenges in plain language.

Books and Deeper Research: Blueprints for Reform

Whether you’re a policymaker, scholar, or concerned citizen, this is essential reading for anyone who cares about the future of retirement in America.