August 13, 2026 10:20AM 

# California’s Minimum Wage Hike 

By [Jeffrey Miron](https://www.cato.org/people/jeffrey-miron) 

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Firms respond to [minimum wage](https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/17/opinion/the-argument-minimum-wage.html?) hikes in multiple ways.

[One study](https://www.cato.org/research-briefs-economic-policy/effects-californias-20-fast-food-minimum-wage-prices) considers a 2023 California bill that raised the minimum wage for fast-food workers from $16 to $20 per hour.

The researchers estimated

> a 4.9–5.1 percent increase in fast-food prices and a 2.1–2.2 percent increase in full-service prices.… Additionally, \[the\] findings suggest that price increases reduced consumers’ demand for fast food by 3.9–4.1 percent and for full-service meals by 1.7–1.8 percent.

Further, the wage hike had

> distributional implications, as lower-income households spend a larger share of their budgets at fast-food restaurants.

All in all, this

> large, sector-specific minimum wage increase raised labor costs, \[which\] firms passed … through to consumers by raising prices, and the resulting decline in demand reduced employment.

Exactly what standard economics would predict.

*Cross-posted from* [*Substack*](https://jeffreymiron.substack.com/)*.*

##### Related Tags 

[Affordability](https://www.cato.org/affordability), [Economics](https://www.cato.org/economics) 

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