June 4, 2026 12:12PM 

# Why Has Poverty Declined in the US? 

By [Jeffrey Miron](https://www.cato.org/people/jeffrey-miron) 

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Was President Lyndon Johnson’s “war on poverty” the main driver of declining poverty rates after 1964?

Not according to a [new study](https://www.cato.org/research-briefs-economic-policy/poverty-dependency-united-states-1939-2023). The researchers examined a measure of poverty

> that accounts for all taxes and government benefits … \[and\] anchored \[the\] poverty measure to the official poverty rate in 1963. … \[They also\] adjusted income thresholds for inflation and the size of each person’s household.

Using this measure, they found that

> poverty fell substantially prior to the War on Poverty, primarily due to increases in market income, without a substantial rise in the dependency of working-age adults and their children on government transfers for most of their income. … These trends were particularly stark for black people, who experienced a steep decline in poverty before the War on Poverty.

*Cross-posted from* [*Substack*](https://jeffreymiron.substack.com/)

##### Related Tags 

[Politics and Society](https://www.cato.org/politics-society), [Social Welfare and Poverty](https://www.cato.org/social-welfare-poverty) 

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