Testimony of Jerry Taylor
Director
Natural Resource Studies
Cato Institute
Before the Subcommittee on Government Reform and Oversight
Committee on Government Reform and Oversight
United States House of Representatives
May 16, 1995
Mr. Chairman and members of the committee, thank you for
inviting me to appear here today to offer my views on proposals to
restructure the Department of Energy. In brief, I recommend that
the Congress.
* Eliminate the U.S. Department of Energy;
* Create the National Nuclear Weapons Agency (NNWA) under the
direction of a sub-cabinet civilian official to supervise the
nuclear weapons program, civilian radioactive waste, and weapons
cleanup undertakings. The NNWA should operate as an independent
subcabinet agency under the budget and weapons program review of
the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD);
* Renegotiate nuclear weapons cleanup programs assumed by the
NNWA to reflect prioritization of containment and neutralization
of risk rather than removal and return of sites to pristine
conditions;
* Privatize all laboratories managed by DOE save for two of the
three weapons laboratories;
* Eliminate the direct funding for all research and development
programs overseen by DOE;
* Sell all of the assets held by the Power Marketing
Administrations to the highest bidder;
* Sell the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the Naval Petroleum
Reserve, and all oil shale reserves;
* Eliminate all energy conservation and renewable fuel subsidies;
* Eliminate the Energy Information Administration, the Energy
Regulatory Administration, the Home Weatherization Program, and
all university and science education programs managed by DOE.
A back-of-the-envelope calculation finds that the above agenda
would, when fully carried out, lead to annual savings of approximately
$10 billion and a one-time gain of approximately $25 billion
through asset sales that could be used to reduce the national
debt.
The Department of Energy in Brief
The DOE is a large department by any measure. It employs 20,000
federal bureaucrats and has a budget of $17.5 billion per year.
Another 150,000 workers are employed at DOE's national
laboratories, cleanup sites, and other facilities.
The department is actually more of a "bomb factory"
than anything else. Fully 67 percent of its budget -- $11.7
billion - - is directed at nuclear weapon or nuclear cleanup
activities. Less than 17 percent of its budget -- $3.1 billion --
is actually related to energy activities. The remaining 15
percent of its budget -- $2.7 billion -- is devoted to general
scientific research.
Even so, DOE's management of the power marketing administrations,
uranium enrichment activities, and oil and gas holdings provides
total revenues of $5.3 billion to the federal government ($1.5
billion in net "profits"). If DOE's nondefense
activities were transferred to a private corporation, that
corporation would number 177 on the Forbes list of the 500
largest corporations in America.
DOE's current mission statement, drafted during two meetings in
1994 involving more than 90 people, is "In partnership with customers,"
to:
* "contribute to the nation's welfare";
* "provide technical information & scientific &
educational foundation";
* "achieve efficiency in energy, diversity in energy
sources, and a more productive and competitive economy";
* "improve environmental quality"; and to
* "secure national defense."
As noted by reporter Timothy Noah of The Wall Street Journal, the
above statement "speaks eloquently, if inadvertently, of the
agency's peculiarly mismatched goals, many of which overlap with
those of other federal agencies."(1)
It in order to safeguard the future of the nation, this Congress
must cut $200 billion of annual federal appropriations. When examining
federal programs for elimination, the most important questions
that should be asked are, in descending order of importance:
* Is the program in question a constitutional exercise of
government authority?
* Can the objectives of the program in question be met by
nongovernmental entities? In other words, if a particular program were
eliminated, would market actors prove capable of achieving that
program's goals without government assistance?
* Is the program's original mission obsolete or still relevant?
* Does the program's societal benefits exceed its record of
societal costs?
While the latter two questions will be addressed directly for
each program below, the former tests are certainly applicable for the
Department as a whole.
Constitutional Questions
As was the Supreme Court recently affirmed in United States vs.
Lopez, the Constitution establishes a federal government of enumerated
and thus limited powers. Nowhere in the Constitution is the
government expressly or even implicitly authorized to "provide
technical information" or to "achieve energy efficiency
or diversity." More generally, as the Lopez decision made clear,
the Constitution establishes general federal police power. Apart
from the explicit power of the federal government over federal
territory, therefore, any police power there may be to regulate
environmental affairs belongs to the states, as the 10th Amendment
indicates.
A strict and proper reading of the Constitution thus draws into
question much of DOE's mission. The traditional arguments used to
justify those undertakings is hardly tenable. The General Welfare
clause is not properly construed as allowing government to do
anything it likes as long as a majority of Congress thinks it
"good." Otherwise, the Founders would hardly have
bothered writing a Constitution of enumerated powers in the first
place. As Madison, Jefferson, and others made clear, the General
Welfare Clause was meant to constrain the exercise of enumerated
powers, not to be itself the source of some general power to
spend for the general welfare.(2) The Commerce Clause, likewise,
was meant to empower the federal government to preempt state
protectionism and little more.(3) The tortured legal acrobatics
that were employed to defend the federal law against firearms in
the proximity of local schools (acrobatics that defy common sense
even according to the Washington Post and were explicitly
rejected in Lopez) are no more convincing than the tortured
justification for energy efficiency investments, federal
petroleum fields, electricity generations facilities, or research
and development programs.
Program Necessity
DOE's energy mission is completely unnecessary given that most of
its objectives are not only met in the marketplace but can be
better met by private parties. Technical, economic, and
scientific information, for instance, is routinely generated and distributed
by private agents (usually far more accurately as well -- recall
DOE's estimate in 1980 that oil would cost $41 per barrel in 1979
dollars by 1990, more than triple today's price(4)). No one can
seriously argue that, were it not for the DOE, the energy
industry would be flying blind in the marketplace. Nor can anyone
seriously argue that, were it not for government subsidy, private
corporations would cease to invest in technological research.
Market actors also have every incentive to use energy as
efficiently as possible -- does anybody seriously contend that
government bureaucrats know better than businessmen or consumers
how to do anything more efficiently? The proper mix of energy
sources is best determined by entrepreneurs directed by market
prices. Government's attempt at "diversifying" energy
sources led it in the past, for example, to ban natural gas for
electricity generation in 1978 on the theory that it was too
scarce (although now it is generally deemed by the very same
government to be the energy choice of the future), the boondoggle
Synfuels program, and quixotic advocacy of extremely expensive
and operationally unreliable renewable fuels. Finally,
"productive and competitive economies" are the creation
of free markets, not government bureaucracies, and environmental
and defense undertakings are best managed by environmental and/or
defense agencies, not energy departments.
Energy is no different from any other commodity in the
marketplace. Energy production and distribution is better
directed by market forces than by government planners and
bureaucrats. There is no more reason for a Department of Energy
than there is for a Department of Automobiles.
The existence of DOE is generally defended, however, on the
grounds that (1) energy is far too important to the economy not to
be managed somehow by government agents, (2) the Department is
necessary in the event that some new energy crisis were to occur,
and (3) that the Department is necessary (in the words of
President Jimmy Carter), "to alleviate the consequences of
the inevitable shortages of oil and gas and other energy
supplies."
Regarding the first argument, the more important an industry, the
more important it is to keep it in the hands of the free market.
It is simply unreasonable in light of the economic events of the
last century to believe that government is better able to "manage"
markets than are the millions of individual actors in the
marketplace. Moreover, if an industry's importance to the nation
were to qualify it for a seat at the cabinet table, then one
could similarly argue that there ought to be a Telecommunications
Department, a Computer Software Department, an Entertainment
Department, or a Department of Moral Values.
Popular opinion to the contrary, the impact of energy on the
economy is generally overstated. Oil purchases, for example, account
for only 2 percent of GNP. Recent macroeconomic analysis finds
that the 1974 energy crisis, by means of perspective, only led to
a 0.35 percent reduction in Gross National Product during the
recession.(5)
Regarding the second argument, the federal government has
repeatedly mangled the job of managing energy crisis. For example,
the gasoline lines and shortages of 1974 and 1979 were caused not
by shortages (global supplies were only reduced by 3 percent and
6 percent respectively) but by wage and price controls adopted in
1972 and the 1975 Petroleum Allocation Act. When the 1990 Kuwait
crisis arose, global supplies were initially cut by 5 percent
but, without such federal meddling, prices stabilized and no
shortages occurred.(6)
In the event of a new energy crisis, the Congress would be best
advised to manage energy supply, demand, and fuel diversity by
allowing prices to freely guide the invisible hand of the
marketplace. Government planners simply do not have a very good track
record when it comes to the centralized allocation of resources.
Indeed, maintaining a cabinet-level energy department is risky
given that it provides a ready structure for the reintroduction
of federal energy market interventions and a perfect command post
for some future "Energy Czar" to once again punish
energy producers and consumers.
Finally, there is no logical reason why increased energy scarcity
(note, however, that energy supplies -- whether measured by proven
reserves, ultimately recoverable stock, or by price trends --
have been increasing, not decreasing(7)) should lead us to abandon
the free market and turn to government resource planning. Markets
may theoretically fail here or there, but the academic literature
on the subject clearly establishes that markets excel at
efficiently distributing scarce resources.(8) That phenomenon is
compounded in the energy market by the existence of the OPEC
semi-cartel ("semi" because the OPEC cartel is not a
particularly effective monopoly(9)). In OPEC nations, where
production costs are far below market price and depletion effects
are small, underexploitation of reserves is the norm given their
desire to monopolize. Thus, existing energy markets are clearly
characterized by, if anything, overcompensation -- not
undercompensation -- for energy scarcity.
The above views might be rare in Washington, but they are
orthodoxy among serious economists in academia. As noted by Dr.
Robert Gordon, professor of Mineral Economics at Pennsylvania
State University and recent recipient of the International Association
of Energy Economists' Outstanding Contributions Award, "the
dominant theme of academic writings is that governments have done
more harm than good in energy," a view "almost
universally supported by academic energy economists, whatever
their political outlook."(10) Professor Colin Robinson, the
British Institute of Energy Economics "1993 Energy Economist
of the Year" and fellow of London's Institute of Economic
Affairs, likewise observes that "public choice theorists and
Chicago-school empirical researchers have so clearly demonstrated
the serious problems inherent in government action that the
traditional deus ex machina case which used to be made by old-
style welfare economists (that government could always be brought
in to set to rights the mess markets were making) is surely
untenable."(11) And America's dean of energy economics,
Morris Adelman of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, has
long held that the federal government should get out of the
energy business.
The Military/Industrial Complex
Nuclear weapons production, maintenance and cleanup programs
account for the bulk of DOE spending. The former obligation --
$4.5 billion annually or 26 percent of the Department's budget --
was historically separated from the Department of Defense out of
concern for independent civilian control of nuclear weapons
production. The latter obligation -- $7.2 billion annually or 41
percent of the entire Department's budget -- largely stemmed from
the mismanagement of the former. The national laboratories, the
progeny of the Manhattan Project, were originally dedicated to
nuclear weapons research, testing, and development, although
other labs were put into place up until 1977 to specialize in
various research and development activities.
Although the stockpile maintenance and cleanup operations
certainly need to be continued, the agency responsible for those activities
hardly needs to sit at the President's cabinet table. Nor is it
there any compelling reason for those activities to be under the
administrative umbrella of an "energy" department,
since "energy" has virtually nothing to do with either administrative
function.
It makes far more administrative sense for those activities to be
assumed by the Department of Defense. A National Nuclear Weapons
Agency (NNWA) should thus be established under the direction of a
sub-cabinet civilian official at DOD to supervise the nuclear
weapons program and related cleanup undertakings. The
weapons-related activities of Los Alamo, Lawrence Livermore, and
Sandia should be reduced to reflect post-cold war realities and
consolidated within two of the three aforementioned national
laboratories and placed under the direction of the NNWA.
Turning the weapons-related programming over to DOD makes sense
for a number of reasons:
ù defense-related activities belong to the agency and budget
responsible for national defense;
ù submerging those programs in an existing Department helps
protect against bureaucratic "mission creep" as was the
case at the old Atomic Energy Commission, the predecessor to DOE;
ù merging those weapons producers with the weapons customers
help ensure coordination of national strategy; and
ù such an administrative structure more honestly tells the
American people exactly how much we are paying for our national defense
instead of scattering such expenditures throughout the budget.
Some will undoubtedly decry giving DOD authority over the nuclear
weapons program out of concern for civilian control of such
weapons of mass destruction. Yet DOD itself must have a civilian
secretary and the NNWA should likewise be required to have a
civilian secretary. Although such concerns are understandable,
the military is already theoretically capable of marshalling
operational warheads currently in missile silos, nuclear
submarines, and long range strategic bombers. Compared to those
tools, authority over weapons design, engineering, and stockpile
maintenance seems rather benign.
Environmental Cleanup
Nuclear weapons facilities such as Rocky Flats, Colorado and
Hanford, Washington, are among the most contaminated environmental
sites in America and are expected to take 30 years or more to
remediate. Current cleanup standards negotiated by DOE with state
and local communities establish rigorous protocols based on the
federal Superfund statute that are aimed at returning sites to
near pristine conditions. The U.S. General Accounting Office
believes that "the effort to clean up federal hazardous
waste sites is likely to be among the costliest public works
projects attempted by government."(12) Estimates of the
ultimate cost of such cleanups vary dramatically, but even the
most conservative estimate of $200 billion rivals the Savings
& Loan bailout. Others peg ultimate cleanup costs as high as
$1 trillion.(13)
While cleaning up those sites is certainly a federal
responsibility, there are two fundamental problems with DOE's
cleanup effort. First, the Department's environmental remediation
projects are hamstrung by gross administrative inefficiencies.
Similar private section remediation projects cost 32 percent less
and 18-50 percent less time to complete, while other government agencies
undertake equivalent cleanup projects at 15 percent less the
final costs incurred by DOE.(14) One of the reasons for the cost
differential, according to the Congressional Budget Office, is
that "at least 40 percent of the cleanup program's funds are
devoted to administrative and support activities, a level that
many reviewers have considered excessive ... [they] represent a
proportion that is significantly higher than the share spent by
some other government agencies that may be forming similar tasks."(15)
Second, the cleanup standards adopted by the Department are
unachievable and thus inordinantly costly. Although this is widely
understood in the scientific community, the point was perhaps
best made in a report issued three months ago by an advisory
board appointed by DOE to study the National Laboratories:
Probably the most important reason behind the slow pace of
assessment and cleanup is the low quality of science and technology
that is being applied in the field. Many of the methods, such as
"pump and treat" for contaminated groundwater remediation,
cannot provide the claimed benefits. There is a lack of
realization that many -- and most experts believe most -- existing
remediation approaches are doomed to technical failure. Others
would require unacceptable expenditures and much extended time to
reach their stated objectives.(16)
Nuclear weapons cleanup programs assumed by the NNWA should be
renegotiated to reflect prioritization of containment and
neutralization of risk rather than removal and return of sites to
pristine conditions. In fact, most of the cost associated with DOE
cleanups stems from the fact that an attempt is being made to
ensure that future residential use of a site like Rocky Flats would
pose no risk whatsoever. Simply protecting adjacent landowners
from exposure to risks from a site would just as effectively
prevent human health risks and do so in a far less costly manner.
Most environmental engineers believe that such a change in
cleanup protocols on federal sites would cut total remediation
costs by at least 50 percent.(17)
The fact of the matter is that current standards for cleanup of
nuclear sites negotiated by DOE are, even is desirable, untenable
both economically and politically. Unless those agreements are
renegotiated, sites will simply remain undealt with given the
budgetary restrictions upon the Congress. Moving to a standard of
risk neutralization allows far more sites to be cleaned up and
correspondingly speedier health protection for the general
public.
Finally, the director of the NNWA should be empowered to
negotiate pilot remediation programs such as community cleanup partnerships
and dutch auctions with private parties. Such auctions entail the
federal government asking private companies to bid on how much
money the government would have to pay them to assume title and
liability for contaminated federal land. Companies would base
their bids on how cost effectively they could neutralize a site's
risk to others, the amount of liability insurance necessary for
protection in courts, and an appropriate profit margin for their
efforts. In short, such a system would harness the creativity and
inventiveness of the private sector while still holding them
liable for harm. Moreover, dutch auctions would, in all
likelihood, dramatically speed the cleanup efforts at hundreds of
sites.
National Laboratories
DOE maintains 10 major laboratories and 18 minor laboratories
with a joint annual budget of $6 billion and a 50,000 employee
payroll. Although funded by the federal government, most are
managed by private corporations or universities. The national
laboratories today are no longer focussed exclusively on weapons
programming, but have instead branched out to include
environmental, commercial, and various other research activities
now that the cold war is over. For example, 40 years ago, 90
percent of Lawrence Livermore's budget was devoted to defense
activities. Today, only 40 percent of their budget is so
targeted.(18)
The most compelling analysis yet presented regarding the national
laboratories is found in the February, 1995 Galvin Report, the
product of a distinguished corporate/academic task force
appointed by the Secretary of Energy. Although the Report was more
inclined to support certain federal research and development
activities than was warranted (more on this later), it trumpeted
"one critical finding" as "so much more
fundamental than we anticipated that we could not in good
conscience ignore it. The principle behind that finding is:
government ownership and operation of these laboratories does not
work well."(19) The prescription?
The principle organizational recommendation of this Task Force is
that the laboratories be as close to corporatized as is imaginable.
We are convinced that simply fine tuning a policy or a mission, a
project, or certain administrative functions will produce minimal
benefits at best.(20)
Accordingly, the Congress should turn over each laboratory fee
simple to the management agent currently contracted by the federal
government to operate the facility. That agent would then retain
full ownership rights to the laboratory and be free to operate it
as they wish, contracting with public and private entities in the
free market. The federal government would retain liability over
any environmental contamination at the site and would be
responsible -- through the NNWA -- for remediating any
environmental contamination that threatened public health. As
noted by the Galvin Report:
We suggest that the country must try one or more concepts that
are radically new in order to revitalize the laboratories and to achieve
significant improvements. If some parts of a bold solution were
to prove to be not as beneficial as this Task Force is confident
that they would be, that unto itself should not be a matter of
concern. The laboratories and the country would still be better
off than they otherwise will be from the continued repetition of
federal governing policies.(21)
Indeed, the bill of particulars presented in the Report are can
be boiled down to the finding that "The national laboratory system
is oversized for its current mission assignments. This appears to
be the result of inefficiencies that stem from the current management
practices of the laboratories and the DOE; excess capacity in
areas associated with nuclear weapons design and development; and
political considerations which have inhibited downsizing and
laboratory restructuring."(22) The Report further remarked
that "Numerous instances of poor DOE regulatory and
management practices have come to the attention of all members of
the Task Force during its investigation of the national
laboratories. The system has been tried long enough; the evidence
is in."(23)
The vision offered for the labs by the Galvin Report makes sense.
"The government should be the customer of the laboratories,"
says the Report. "World-class commercial customers do not
tell their suppliers how to do things. They simply buy a result
for a given price. World-class commercial suppliers are not
audited by their customers."(24)
Even if the same level of public research and development funding
is directed through the labs after privatization, the Galvin Report
conservatively estimates that 20 percent of current expenditures
-- $1.2 billion annually -- could be saved through reorganization.(25)
The Galvin Report, of course, is not the first such warning about
the deteriorating state of the national labs. A long line of U.S. General
Accounting Office and Congressional Budget Office reports have
similarly concluded that the labs are largely a program in search
of a rationale, having lacked for years a coherent or definable
mission and suffering greatly from inept management from DOE.(26)
Even Dr. Eric Bloch, former director of the National Science
Foundation and currently a fellow at the Council on
Competitiveness, agrees that, while much of their research is
needed, federal ownership of the labs leads to mismanagement,
politicization, and scientific atrophy.(27)
Research and Development
DOE is one of the premier research and development agency in the
federal government. Approximately $5.8 billion was spent by the
DOE on research and development in 1995: $3.2 billion for
"applied" energy supply research and development; $1.4 billion
for "basic" science research and development (generally
high energy and nuclear physics), $490 million for energy conservation
research and development; $430 million for fossil energy research
and development; and $288 million for the Clean Coal Technology
Program. A large chunk of that funding is appropriated in the
form of grants and partnerships with private industry in a wide
range of industrial areas. Most of it is funnelled through the
national laboratory system where the actual work is performed.
It should be noted that the Constitution grants Congress the
power to "promote the progress of science and useful
arts," but expressly detailed in Article I, Section 8, the
means by which it may do so -- "by securing for limited
times to authors and inventors the exclusive right to their
respective writings and discoveries."
Nevertheless, over the past four decades the federal government
has pored $17 billion into general nondefense nuclear science and
$63 billion into general energy research and development.(28)
"Priority for federal funding of R&D," observes Dr.
Maxine Savitz, "has been given to projects where the risks
are so great (but potential awards are so great), the time for commercialization
is so long, or potential returns based on present energy price
are so low that private investment alone cannot rationally be
expected to be adequate."(29) DOE further justifies those
expenditures on the basis that:
Private firms are finding it increasingly difficult to recoup
their R&D costs by appropriating exclusively to themselves
the true benefits of the R&D. In today's highly competitive
global market, technical secrets are short-lived and too easily
stolen, scientists are hired away, and inventions are slightly
modified in order to circumvent intellectual property rights.
More fundamentally, the R&D itself is often too challenging,
requiring large interdisciplinary teams of scientists, working
year after year on expensive and unique laboratory equipment.
Finally, the structure of certain industries is often to
fragmented, or the firms to small, to mount the sustained R&D
campaign necessary for success.(30)
Recently, Energy Secretary Hazel O'Leary has further argued that
federal energy research and development is crucial for America's
international competitiveness. "All of the U.S.'s
competitors have industrial policies," she told House Appropriations
Committee on January 19, 1995. "If the U.S. is to remain
competitive, it too must have an industrial policy. This can be
done either through a direct investment policy or a taxing policy
... The government must aid the private sector in using jointly
developed technologies to capture these markets." After
noting that other nations support energy research and development,
she asked, "Do we permit some other nation to beat
us?"(31)
In essence, the charge is that, in the field of research and
development anyway, we find significant, systemic, and
fundamental market failure. Although some of the above
observations have some merit, many do not. For example, when
markets find that a particular research activity involves high
risk and minimal return due to low energy prices, the market does
not "fail" by not investing in the project; it operates
rationally. The fact that employees are free agents who can sell
their services to the highest or most satisfactory bidder
likewise is not a market failure. If it were, it would be a
wonder that the market could operate at all. Complex, long range
undertakings are routinely accomplished by the private sector in
every other industrial endeavor and are certainly not beyond the
capability of universities or even Corporate America. Finally,
small companies in fragmented industries are not necessarily
disadvantaged in the race for new technologies and developments.
In fact, most analysts recognize that it is precisely those firms
that produce the most valuable new technologies and radical ideas
that advance the march of science. Moreover, joint ventures and
industrial research consortiums are certainly capable of
overcoming the problem where it might exist.
The proper comparison, however, is not between an imperfect
market and a theoretically perfect government, since postulating
textbook perfection on the part of government agents is just as
unrealistic as doing so for market actors. The proper comparison
is between market failure and government failure. And in order to
bring the R&D debate back to reality, there are several
"government failures" which we might note.
First, many of the imperfections noted by DOE in the private
sector apply as much if not more so to federal R&D. Long term government
projects are difficult to sustain politically given the short
time horizons of legislators forced to face constant elections
and thus quick results. Government finds that doing even simple
thinks like growing crops and delivering mail a constant
challenge. It's record at accomplishing complex tasks is even
more spotty, as the record of NASA, the Strategic Defense
Initiative, and various large-scale projects like the Clinch
River Breeder Reactor and the Superconducting Supercollider can
attest. Federal employees and contractors are scarcely the
indentured servants DOE implies are necessary to make a market
run efficiently. Governmental undertakings are also plagued by
duplication, fragmentation, contradictory efforts, and lack of
coordination to say the least. And finally, the technological
"breakthroughs" achieved in any single nation are
quickly spread throughout the globe just as those breakthroughs
can quickly be spread from one corporate competitor to another.
"Beating" the Japanese to new solar technology
applications, for example, would mean little when Japanese
industry has demonstrated time and again its ability to be first
in bringing to market technological breakthroughs achieved
elsewhere.
Second, private actors are motivated by the pursuit of profit and
are thus constantly driven to efficiently meet the demands of consumers.
Public officials, as noted by nobel laureate James Buchanan --
founder of the "public choice" school of political economics
-- are driven by an entirely different set of incentives; budget
maximization, expansion of regulatory power, job security,
etc.(32) As noted by Milton Friedman, "People who intend to
serve only the public interest are led by an invisible hand to
serve private interests which was no part of their
intention."(33)
This is because government tends to decide which industries,
technologies, and projects to support on the basis of political -
- not economic or scientific -- considerations. Older, more
labor-intensive companies typically exercise the most clout. New and
growing firms -- the kind that typically produce the most
technological breakthroughs -- may be economically strong but are
usually politically weak. And as former Senator William Proxmire
once remarked, "Money will go where the political power is.
Anyone who thinks government funds will be allocated to firms
according to merit has not lived or served in Washington very
long."(34)
Third, the idea that basic science (supposedly underinvested in
by the private sector and corrected by federal appropriations) is
a major catalyst in industrial innovation is simply outdated.
Rather, as John Deutch of M.I.T. explains, "The potential contribution
of the national laboratories to improve the competitiveness of
U.S. commercial industry is oversold. The principle barriers to
improving industrial productivity in U.S. industry are not due to
our inability to generate new technology, but rather to our
inability to apply existing technology and to produce quality
products."(35)
Fourth, as noted by the Galvin Report:
To be effective, near-term R&D work must take place in an
environment rich in interactions with users and customers. Market-based
influence, direction, and control are critical to success ... The
more distant the laboratories are from the marketplace, the more
remote the likelihood that they will have something useful to
contribute to such activities."(36)
Clearly, Congressional appropriators or bureaucratic servants,
isolated as they are from the marketplace and the incredibly detailed
and varied knowledge held by millions of private agents, are
incapable of intelligently directing societal resources.(37)
Finally, the portfolio of federal energy R&D investments is
directed, according to the DOE, at supporting "high-risk, precompetitive
research," which results in a "high-risk portfolio of
capital investments in the Nation's future."(38) It should
not surprise us when government's "high-risk capital
investments" don't pan out -- they are, after all, risky by
definition. Government officials, however, are not as worried
about losing the money of their stockholders -- taxpayers -- as
is Corporate America.
The likelihood of systemic "government" failure in the
realm of energy research and development is not simply a matter
of theory. It is a clear matter of record.
Perhaps the most serious examination of federal R&D programs
-- conducted for the Brookings Institution by economists Linda
Cohen of the University of California at Irvine and Roger Noll of
Stanford University -- found that energy R&D has been an
abject failure and nothing but a pork barrel for political gain.
"The overriding lesson from the case studies is that the goal
of economic efficiency -- to cure market failures in privately
sponsored commercial innovation -- is so severely constrained by
political forces that an effective, coherent national commercial
R&D program has never been put in place."(39)
Other dispassionate observers note that, despite the occasional
R&D success, DOE energy research expenditures fail to pay for
themselves. Simply put, if the energy research and development
investments made by the DOE were made by a private corporation,
that company would have gone bankrupt long ago. Given the
dramatic sums invested in energy R&D over the past four
decades, the government has little to show for its effort save
for light water nuclear reactor technology, and even that breakthrough
has yet to show significant commercial gain. Although a small
success here or there can obviously be demonstrated, the
commercial returns on the $80 billion spent in the last 40 years
don't even come close to matching the sums allocated. As the
Galvin Commission reported:
The Task Force learned of significant examples of
laboratory-developed technology being usefully transferred into
industry and of the laboratories providing useful technical
services to industry. However, the laboratories are not now, nor
will they become, cornucopias of relevant technology for a broad
range of industries. A significant fraction of the laboratories'
industrial competitiveness activities concern technologies which
are of less than primary importance to their industrial
collaborators and/or which these partners could obtain from other
sources. There are only a relatively few instances in which the laboratories
have technology that is vital to industry and that is uniquely
available at the laboratories ... [such R&D investments] are
unlikely to produce results that will benefit either the agency's
industrial partners or the public in the long run ... While there
are instances of successful "by-product" R&D, the
historical evidence demonstrates that such events are statistically
improbable.(40)
Federal energy research and development expenditures should thus
be immediately eliminated. Any research needs the government
might have to accomplish otherwise constitutional ends -- such as
the cleanup of federal facilities -- should be bid out to private
sector entities under the direction of the newly created National
Nuclear Weapons Agency at the Department of Defense.
Power Marketing Administrations
In 1994, DOE sold $2.9 billion worth of electric power, a total
of 8 percent of the nation's annual power production. The facilities
that generate that power are mostly dams; Hoover, Grand Coulee,
and 129 other smaller dams operated by the Army Corps of
Engineers and the Bureau of Reclamation. DOE's five power
marketing administrations -- the agencies that deliver public
power wholesale (with the exception of the Bonneville Power
Administration, which also sells power retail) to publicly owned
utilities and rural power cooperatives -- are together as large
as major private power companies. Baltimore Gas and Electric's
sales last year, for example, were $2.8 billion, while Boston
Edison's were $1.5 billion, about half those of power marketing
administrations'.
The PMAs were originally justified on two premises; that monopoly
electricity corporations would not find enough profit in electrifying
rural America and thus government must step in and provide the
power; and second, that government could provide power cheaper to
consumers because it could do so "at cost" without
worrying about a capital costs or profit margins. The former
premise is now irrelevant. Rural America is thoroughly
electrified and would remain so with or without the PMAs.
Moreover, 60 percent of rural America is already served by
investor-owned utilities.(41) The latter premise was a socialist
chimera. Public electricity generation has proven to be far more
costly than private power.(42)
The five power marketing administrations overseen by DOE vary in
size and significance. Four of them are relatively small and are
targeted for privatization by the Clinton administration:
* The Alaskan Power Administration (APA) delivers power from only
two public power plants with a total capacity of 108 megawatts.
APA supplies 8 percent of the market in the region served with
annual power sales of only $9 million;
* The Southwestern Power Administration (SWPA) delivers power
from 24 public power plants with a total capacity of 2,200
megawatts. SWPA supplies 4 percent of the market in the region
served with annual power sales of $103 million;
* The Southeastern Power Administration (SEPA) delivers power
from 22 public power plants with a total capacity of just over
3,000 megawatts. SEPA supplies 2 percent of the market in the
region served with annual power sales of $155 million; and
* The Western Area Power Administration (WAPA) delivers power
from 53 powerplants with a total capacity of over 10,000
megawatts. WAPA supplies 9 percent of the market in the region
served with annual power sales of $758 million.
The granddaddy of them all, however, is the Bonneville Power
Administration (BPA), which delivers energy from 30 public power
plants with a total capacity of 22,000 megawatts. BPA supplies 65
percent of the market in the region served with annual power
sales of $1.9 billion. The Clinton administration proposes to
"corporatize" BPA along the lines of the Tennessee Valley
Authority.
Defenders of the PMAs claim that they do not cost taxpayers
money. In fact, they argue that PMAs provide an infusion of cash
to the federal treasury and that any sale of those assets would
mean a net loss to the taxpayer. That argument, however, is
spurious on several grounds. First, PMAs generally operate free
of local, state, and federal taxes, and the opportunity cost of
maintaining public ownership in not figured into the previous
calculations. Second, PMAs are not required to amortize their federal
loans (received at below market interest rates in the first place
at a cost of $1.2 billion to the treasury(43)) on schedule and
can extend the term of repayment for years. Old debt with very
low interest rates have thus been kept on the books for decades
after it would have been normally amortized and paid in full by a
private company. Third, PMAs sell power from 100 percent to 300
percent below the prevailing market price in the regions they
serve, and that lost revenue -- calculated at $2 billion by DOE
-- is also ignored in the above argument.(44) Fourth, the PMAs
that report net revenues due so by not employing generally
accepted accounting principles to depreciate their property. A
brief review by Deloitte & Touche in January 1995 found that
WAPA, for example, was not operating in the black as was claimed
but actually lost $250 million in 1993 and $130 million in 1992.
Finally, a congressional report titled "Taking the Taxpayer:
Public Subsidies for Natural Resource Development" (known
general as the "Miller Report") found that PMAs receive
certain site-specific benefits and interagency subsidies that
cost the U.S. taxpayer additional money not considered by
proponents.
All five of the PMAs should be privatized by asset divestiture
and sold to the highest bidder by an Asset Privatization Working
Group under the management of the Treasury Department.(45) The
divested assets should include the right to market power produced
at federal facilities (without any price constraint) and the
generation equipment associated with energy production at those
facilities. The privatization of PMAs should grandfather in
existing operating conditions at hydroelectric generating
facilities including minimum flows from the dams and provide a
"preference" to current customers that relieves them
from current contract requirements if they so desire. Sale of the
four PMAs proposed by the Clinton administration are estimated to
bring in between $3.4 billion (according to the administration)
and $9 billion (according to the EOP Group(46)) to the federal
treasury, with Bonneville likely to bring in approximately $9
billion.(47)
It is occasionally argued that, however attractive selling the
PMAs might be, there are no buyers for the administrations, that some
PMAs like BPA have a negative net value, and no market exists for
most of the public generation facilities that provide the power.
Nothing could be further from the truth. PMAs are commercial
businesses with marketable assets that could readily be sold. A
variety of investors -- including independent power producers,
municipal utilities, investor-owned utilities -- are already
lobbying for the right to purchase PMA assets, prima facia
evidence of a ready market. If power marketing rights were sold
with the same restriction on wholesale prices, it might indeed be
the case that selling the PMAs would bring in scant revenue to
the treasury. Allowing power to be sold at market rates, however,
increases the value of those assets tremendously. Finally, much
of the debt at Bonneville is held not by the PMA but by the WPPSS
and would not greatly affect the value of Bonneville's assets.
Although there might not be a market for the largest federal
dams, such as Hoover or Grand Coulee (although that remains to be
seen), there are more than a hundred smaller dams that would find
ready buyers. More than 2,000 hydropower facilities are owned by
the private sector (compared to 172 facilities owned by the
public) and 56 percent of the nation's hydropower is generated by
private companies. Nor are those facilities necessarily small
generators. The Conowingo Dam, a 500 megawatt facility in
Maryland's Susquhanna River, and the Brownlee Dam, a 585 megawatt
facility on the Snake River, are both owned by non-federal power
companies.
Indeed, current PMA customers complain that the Army Corps of
Engineers and the Bureau of Reclamation are failing to maintain
power facilities or upgrade them. Both organizations are under
orders not to expand power facilities so that federal dollars can
be used for other priorities. Sale of those facilities would
mobilize private capital to fill this need.
The real argument against privatization, however, rests on the
charge that selling public power at market rates would increase electricity
bills and amount to a "hidden tax increase" on
consumers. But even if true, the removal of a subsidy does not constitute
a tax increase. Moreover, only 6 percent of America's consumers
receive their power from federal facilities, so the number of
power customers effected of any rate increase would be rather
small.
Nonetheless, most retail customers of public power would
experience no rate increases. The reason is that, even though public
power is sold to intermediary wholesale purchasers at between 1
to 3 cents per kilowatt hour, those wholesalers (rural electric
cooperatives and municipal utilities) typically resell that power
to their customers at market rates -- 4 to 9 cents per kilowatt
hour.(48) In other words, its not the retail customers of public
power that receive the public subsidy; its the rural electric
cooperatives and municipal utilities that receive the public
windfall. Why those "non-profit" entities choose to
mark- up their rates so dramatically is unclear. But privatizing
the PMAs could easily be absorbed by those public enterprises
without effecting rates. If rates increase regardless, it would
be due to the inefficiencies of those public enterprises and not
the act of privatization.
Even if wholesale price increases are passed on directly to
customers of rural electric cooperatives and municipal utilities,
The Edison Electric Institute estimates that rate impacts would
be relatively minor:
* In the Southeastern Public Power Administration, 94 percent of
public power customers would experience rates hikes from 0 to 5
percent while only 6 percent of the customer base would
experience rate increases of between 5 and 10 percent.
* In the Southwestern Public Power Administration, 73 percent of
public power customers would experience rates hikes from 0 to 5
percent; 17 percent would experience rate hikes of between 5 and
10 percent; 7 percent would experience rate hikes of between 10
and 20 percent; and only 3 percent would experience rate hikes of
over 20 percent.
* In the Western Public Power Administration, 90 percent of
public power customers would experience rates hikes from 0 to 5
percent; 8 percent would experience rate hikes of between 5 and
10 percent; and only 2 percent would experience rate hikes of
between 10 and 20 percent.(49)
Continued subsidy of electricity prices does economic and
environmental damage to those regions served by PMAs. Energy is
but one input in the manufacturing process and, like capital or
labor, can be substituted for other inputs. When energy prices are
held artificially low, manufacturers are encouraged to substitute
energy for other manufacturing inputs which can often have the
effect of reducing job opportunities. Moreover, artificially low
electricity prices lead to greater electricity consumption than
would otherwise be the case, which correspondingly increases air
and water emissions. Those who highly value energy conservation
should also be reminded that maintaining energy subsidies is the
surest way to promote excessive energy use.
Governments around the world are privatizing government operated
power systems, including Poland, Hungary, Spain, Italy, Argentina,
and Peru. In fact, the United States budgets $400 million
annually to encourage other countries to adopt market based
economic policies and to advance the privatization of industrial
assets. It is indeed ironic that the U.S. refuses to take its own
advice and has even made it illegal to study the question of
power privatization on government time.(50)
Federal Energy Reserves
The federal government maintains a 591 million barrel Strategic
Petroleum Reserve (SPR) of unrefined, generally high- sulfur crude
oil in five caverns in Texas and Louisiana and a Naval Petroleum
Reserve (NPR) consisting of major oil and natural gas fields in
Buena Vista, California (the Elk Hills facility), Teapot Dome
near Casper, Wyoming, and Naval Oil Shale Reserve Number 3 near
Rifle, Colorado.
The Naval Petroleum Reserve was originally set aside to ensure
the navy a supply of oil as it converted its fleet from coal to oil
before World War I. The fields went undeveloped through two world
wars. During the energy crises of the 1970s, Congress decided the
government should produce oil and gas at those fields and sell
them on the commercial market. Today, NPR includes some of the
largest oil fields in the lower 48 states, producing about 60,000
barrels of crude oil a day. Those commercial oil fields are
managed by DOE with contractor support.
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve was established in 1975 to serve
as an emergency source of petroleum. The SPR can be released by
either by an administrative finding of a "severe energy
supply disruption" or as a consequence of the mandatory energy-sharing
program of the International Energy Agency. Although $21 billion
has been spent to build and maintain the stock of unrefined,
high-sulfur crude, the SPR has never been used to any significant
extent. The SPR had 80 million barrels in the ground during the
1979 energy crisis, but there was no drawdown capability at the
time. Although the government had an excellent but rare
opportunity to recoup the cost of the reserve in the summer of
1990 during the Kuwait crisis, DOE held on to the reserve out of
concern that the crisis could get worse before it got better. By
the time prices came down and stabilized, DOE announced an
extremely limited withdrawal of oil that was too late to
positively affect either markets or consumer confidence.
The high sunken costs for the various SPR facilities will soon
increase even further. The temperature of the sorted crude has been
elevated by geothermal heating and methane contamination from the
cavernous salt formations of the storage facilities, making
withdrawal difficult. Major problems in the nearly 20- year old
mechanical, civil, and electrical systems also require quick
attention. DOE conservatively estimates that the cost for those
and several related problems will total approximately half a
billion dollars over the next several years.
The various oil reserves of the federal government should be
privatized immediately. There is simply no reason for the federal government
to be owning productive oil or shale fields. Nor can any
Strategic Petroleum Reserve, no matter how large, insulate the
United States from the effect of international supply
disruptions. Selling the SPR would bring anywhere from $7 billion
to $10 billion in revenue to the treasury, while sale of the NPR
would, according to the Office of Management and Budget, bring
another $1.6 billion into the treasury.
Although it often argued that membership in the International
Energy Administration (IEA) precludes selling the SPR, member nations
are given the option of securing public or private reserves that
can replace oil imports for 90 days. Private reserves in the
United States are more than adequate to meet IEA's requirement.
Congress would be well advised to withdraw from the IEA in any
event, but that is another matter outside the immediate topic at
hand.
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve
First of all, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is simply not large
enough to meet America's oil demand even in the short term and
could never provide significant help in the (extremely unlikely)
event of wrenching supply disruptions. The effective withdraw
capacity of the SPR is only about 2 million barrels a day, enough
to replace but 25 percent of America's daily oil imports for
approximately 90 days.(51) Happily, however, this will make no
difference for the military in the event of a complete cut-off of
foreign oil. Joshua Gotbaum, Assistant Secretary for Economic
Security at the Department of Defense, testified before the
Senate on March 29, 1995, that the military could fight two major
regional wars nearly simultaneously while using only one-eighth
of America's current domestic oil production.(52)
Moreover, most of the SPR is stocked with high-sulfur crude
(purchased for political reasons from Mexico) that would be amply
available during any OPEC-induced crisis. It's low-sulfur crude
that the U.S. imports from the Persian Gulf and low-sulfur crude
cannot easily be substituted for high-sulfur crude without a
great deal of cost and performance sacrifices. Thus, the SPR
would be of only limited usefulness in the event of a Persian
Gulf crisis.
The SPR is not only incapable of replacing America's foreign oil
needs, it is incapable of dampening price spikes that may result
from oil supply disruptions. First, the Congressional Budget
Office points out that any announced intent to open the Reserve
will add to market uncertainty due to inherent delays between
such a decision and final sale. After such a tentative decision
to release was announced in 1990, for example, CBO observes that:
Greater uncertainty caused individuals and businesses to hold
onto their [oil stocks] ... and that additional demand for
private stocks raised oil imports and prices -- just the opposite
of the original intent of the release."(53)
Second, petroleum is a fungible international commodity. Indeed,
Great Britain's "energy independence" was of little
help during the energy crisis of the 70s; domestic price
increases were no less severe there than in Japan or any other
western nation. Oil prices are heavily influenced by global
supply and demand curves, and the SPR is nowhere near large
enough to effect international markets and thus incapable of
significantly effecting domestic prices. Economists Chantale
LaCasse and Andre Plourde point out that the only way an economy
can be adequately insulated from international supply disruptions
is for it and every other country with which it trades to cease
trading with OPEC -- an obviously unlikely scenario.(54)
According to virtually all observers, oil supply disruptions are
less likely now than ever before. Daniel Yergin, President of the Cambridge
Energy Research Associates and author of The Prize, notes that
"Present circumstances require a balanced perspective. There
is a much more secure base to the world's energy economy than was
the case in 1973 and -- under the right conditions -- that base
could well extend in to the end of the century and into the
next."(55)
Likewise, the CBO has found that "Concern over the inability
to secure needed oil during a supply disruption may also be smaller
today. Internationally, the number of oil-exporting nations has
increased, and the large oil companies have worked to diversify
their sources of oil. Thus, oil-exporting nations find it more
difficult to cut off supplies totally to individual companies or
countries."(56) Moreover, CBO found that "One of the
most important changes that affect energy policy is the smaller effect
that oil price shocks have on the economy today compared with the
past."(57)
And as Robert L. Bradley, Jr., president of the Institute for
Energy Research has noted, "While volatility with oil supply
and prices can be expected given governmental control over the
majority of world's crude, an energy crisis, defined as prolonged price
spikes with or without physical shortages, cannot be considered a
likely scenario."(58)
Support for the SPR is little more than an economic security
blanket for those traumatized by the fear of some dramatic foreign
oil squeeze on the United States. Yet short of a seamless naval
embargo, no oil boycott could prevent the U.S. from purchasing
oil from the international marketplace, and no serious energy
economist expects oil prices to ever equal on a sustained basis
the price of putting a barrel of oil -- approximately $45 per
barrel -- in the SPR. If one thinks of the SPR as the functional
equivalent of an insurance policy, then the premium on the policy
exceeds the benefits under virtually any imaginable scenario.
Often ignored, however, is that the price spikes experienced in
1973, 1979, and 1990 were not caused primarily by international
oil shortages. Professor Edward Erickson of North Carolina State
University observes rightly that, "we know full well that
the price spikes that characterized past oil market dislocations
were as much or more demand driven phenomena than they were the
effects of any sustained overall supply diminution or
uncompensated disruption in the pattern of world oil flows."(59)
Rationing, punishing taxation, trade restrictions, and political
embargoes -- not dramatic supply cutbacks by producing nations --
are what caused the price increases of those years. As noted
earlier, international oil supply was only reduced by 3 percent
in 1974. It was reduced by double that amount for a few months in
1990 (not because Saddam refused to sell the West oil, remember,
but because we refused to allow him to do so) but the economic
impact was relatively minor. The difference, of course, was that
the United States allowed markets to work properly 5 years ago,
whereas the government's massive intervention in energy markets
21 years ago magnified the impact of the disruption and caused
massive economic dislocations.
It is important to bear in mind that periodic, politically-
caused supply disruptions are not unique to OPEC oil markets. As pointed
out by Professor Richard Gordon:
Supply crisis also have a long history outside OPEC oil -- namely
draught, flood, and storm damages to crops, coal strikes in the
United States, Britain, and Australia, copper strikes in the
United States, the effects of oil industry nationalization in Mexico
and Iran, the 1956 Suez Canal closing, the 1980 Iran-Iraq war,
the civil war in Lebanon (through which oil flows to the
Mediterranean), the disruption of cobalt supplies from Zaire, and
revolutions in Iraq and Libya. In many of these cases, world
supply was not significantly affected. In the others, only
temporary rises in price occurred. Political disruption rarely
has long-run effects. Even short-run damages can be small.(60)
Also forgotten is the fact that, as pointed out by Erickson,
"concerns about oil supplies have long captured the
attention of both analysts and the popular audience while
revolutions and counterrevolutions were quietly sweeping the
demand side markets."(61) Those revolutions in the advent of
the booming oil futures market, the present 120 day reserves now maintained
by domestic oil companies (reserves larger than the SPR), and
increasing slack in domestic production. Says Gordon, "It
can be argued that the absence of well-organized spot markets and
government-produced uncertainties were the key problems during
oil crises up to 1980."(62) Indeed, private stockpiles would
be even larger were it not for corporate fear of the government's
tendency to impose windfall-profit taxes or price controls when
supply disruptions occur.(63) If business is convinced that they
will be penalized for recouping the cost of their reserves during
price spikes then they will be reluctant to put oil away for use
on some future "rainy economic day."
Even if needed, it is unlikely that the SPR will ever be used
given the government's reluctance to ever pull the trigger and
start crude oil withdrawals. There is always a concern that
premature draw downs will spook the markets and perhaps deplete a "rainy
day" supply that could be more important later if a crisis
were to take a worse turn of events. That reluctance to
"pull the trigger" is an institutional problem that
manifested itself during the 1990 Kuwait crisis and is likely to
prevent the Reserve from ever being used according to many
observers and former energy officials.
The Naval Petroleum Reserve
The Naval Petroleum Reserves don't even pretend to operate for a
"rainy day," but instead amount to straightforward
federal ownership of productive oil and gas lands. There is no
economic rationale for such an arrangement; no military need for
the fields; and no credibility to the argument that federal
ownership of "the means of production" is superior to
private ownership. Even President Clinton concedes the need for
selling the NPR. As his FY 1995 budget stated (Appendix, p. 406),
"producing and selling this oil is a commercial, not a
governmental activity. There is good reason to believe industry
can run Elk Hills quite well since it [private industry] accounts
for most U.S. domestic oil production."
Many fiscal conservatives have long opposed the sale of the NPR,
maintaining that the Reserve's assets are worth more in government
hands. But the federal government is not producing the assets as
aggressively or cutting costs as much as possible, reducing their
value compared to what they would be under private ownership. Nor
does the federal government have any business operating strictly
commercial enterprises simply as a means to produce revenue. It
is not empowered Constitutionally to do so and smacks of economic
socialism.
Energy Conservation and Renewable Fuel Subsidies
The Department of Energy funds numerous programs that are
designed to directly and indirectly subsidize the adoption of energy
efficient technologies and the use of renewable fuels. Favored
industries receive federal money for technical assistance, information
programs, grants, export subsidies, and demonstration projects.
More directly, the DOE -- under direction of the 1992 Energy
Policy Act -- pays utilities 1.5 cents per kilowatt hour for
power generated from solar, wind, geothermal, or biomass
conversion facilities. Those programs should be removed root and
branch from the federal budget and all enabling legislation
amended or repealed as necessary.
Even is one supports energy conservation subsidies, it must be
recognized that State public utility commissions already mandate
energy conservation programs and dictate renewable fuel use where
practicable. In fact, such state subsidies dwarf the less than $2
billion spent by the federal government in this area.
That is not to suggest, however, that such subsidies are a good
idea. The massive, 10 year experiment with state mandatory energy
conservation programs (termed "demand-side management"
or "integrated planning") has proven a multi-billion
dollar bust with few efficiency gains and significant rate
increases for electric power customers.(64) State renewable fuel
subsidies and mandates in California -- the state most aggressive
in promoting such programs -- have resulted in electricity rates
twice the national average and have sparked a counterrevolution
to free electric power companies from monopoly regulation.(65)
In fact, a recent study by Resource Data International prepared
for the Center for Energy and Economic Development calculates
that:
ù Current policies will only increase the market share of
renewable fuels from today's 2 percent to 4 percent of the market
by 2010 but at a cost to ratepayers of $52 billion; and
ù Even if the public subsidized 50 percent of the production
costs, renewable fuels would only comprise 11 percent of the market
by 2010 and cost ratepayers $203 billion in the process.(66)
Decisions about appropriate fuel choices can be best made by
examining prices which, after all, are simply quantified reflections
of relative scarcity. If solar power, for example, is twice as
expensive as natural gas for a given application, it means that
the resources necessary to produce power from the sun are twice
as scarce as those necessary to generate power from gas. This is
simply axiomatic. Although some will object to that statement by
arguing that externalities such as environmental harm are not
factored into the price, that is somewhat misleading in that
regulatory costs of environmental compliance are factored into
prices and indirectly reflected in business decisionmaking.
Even so, externalities are a function of government policies that
deny property rights over resources or deny harmed parties access
to courts where damages might be identified and corrected by
injunctive relief. More importantly for policy purposes, there is
no way to intelligently quantify or measure externalities one way
or the other (there are, after all, positive as well as negative
externalities and any statement about a given fuel's
externalities must consider both sides of the ledger).(67) Any pretense,
therefore, that a subsidy is simply correcting for some
externality is nonsense in that it is impossible to even come close
to calibrating the external effect with the public
corrective.(68)
Likewise, energy conservation decisions are best made by private
parties who measure the costs and benefits as they see them in
their own unique circumstances. Generally, government subsidy
simply distorts otherwise rationale decision making; benefits the
energy wasteful while taxing the energy thrifty; often wastes
more energy then it saves due to the "snap-back" effect
(well known to economists); displaces private sector energy
efficiency consultants and engineers who find it hard to compete
with DOE or the States; and can prove tremendously wasteful when
opportunity costs are accounted for.(69)
Miscellaneous
Although there are a plethora of minor DOE undertakings buried in
the budget, suffice it to say that they should all be eliminated.
There is simply no reason for government to be involved in the
energy business at any level. The Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission (FERC) should ultimately be dismantled, but again,
that's an argument for another day. In the meantime, FERC should
remain a standing independent agency. A few comments, however,
are in order for three of the most prominent remaining DOE
programs; the Home Weatherization Program, the Energy Information
Administration, and the Energy Regulatory Administration.
The Home Weatherization Program managed by DOE should by
eliminated. The program is nothing but welfare with extremely
high overhead, and welfare policies are properly addressed
elsewhere in the budget.
The Energy Information Administration is generally unnecessary.
Private businesses have more than enough incentive to invest in
good information on which to base their marketing decisions. Why
have the taxpayer pay for what other industries pay for themselves?
Public information gathering would probably be continued by trade
associations such as the American Petroleum Institute and the
Edison Electric Institute, the World Resources Institute,
consulting firms such as Cambridge Energy Research Associates,
policy groups, lobbyists, and specialized consultants.
The Energy Regulatory Administration has two functions;
regulation of international fuel shipments, which can be
transferred to the Department of Commerce, and enforcement of oil
price controls, which were abolished in 1981. The remaining oil price
control cases should simply be dropped as an ancient and
pointless waste of time that only serves to run up bureaucratic costs
and harass businesses.
Conclusion
Congress' intervention in energy markets has been largely
unsuccessful even in achieving its own specified objectives. But failure
has been no deterrent for many, who reflexively conclude that the
intervention was executed poorly even when it was unnecessary or
counterproductive in the first place, or that the
"wrong" technology was subsidized (Synfuels for
example) or fuel was banned (natural gas in 1978) when government
had no ability in the first place of intelligently deciding the
matter.
Moreover, unsuccessful policies (such as energy subsidies through
the PMAs) have generated unintended side-effects (excessive
energy use and environmental damage) that have in turn spawned
demand for more interventions (mandatory energy conservation and
externality pricing) to correct for the consequences of the
original mistakes.
Professor Colin Robinson observes rightfully that:
Most of the "second-hand dealers in ideas" have
accepted that central planning has failed but they have not drawn
the logical conclusion -- that, for essentially the same reasons
that central planning failed, most government intervention will
also fail. The demonstrations many years ago by von Mises and
Hayek that the informational and calculational requirements of
centralized planning and forecasting are such that it is very
unlikely ever to be socially beneficial (though it may, of
course, provide benefits to those who do the planning) apply,
mutatis mutandis, to lesser measures of government
intervention.(70)
Some who support a continuing federal mission in energy markets
are well meaning but simply wrong. Others who do so are, frankly,
in it for a buck. Given all the billions of fuel and R&D
subsidies that are doled out by the Department of Energy, it is not
surprising that last December six energy industry trade groups
joined together to save DOE. Arguing vaguely that "to dismantle
the focal point of U.S. energy policy in order to realize only
small budgetary savings would send a strong message that the
United States no longer recognizes the importance of energy
security to our nation's economic future" (does our lack of
a Department of Moral Values likewise send a strong message that
the United States fails to recognize the importance of character?),
executives of the Edison Electric Institute, the National Coal
Association, the American Wind Energy Association, the National
BioEnergy Industries Association, the Solar Energy Industries
Association, and the National Hydropower Association (and later,
the American Gas Association, the National Rural Electric
Cooperative Association, American Waterways Operators, the
National Cooperative Business Association, the Western Fuels
Association, the American Public Power Association, and the
nuclear power lobby) went on record as voting for their corporate
welfare checks. Many giant corporations are also on the receiving
end of DOE largess. Wal-Mart is in line this year, for example,
to receive $100,000 of taxpayers' money to install a photovoltaic
demonstration project at one of its stores in California.(71)
Dismantling the DOE would save billions, lower energy prices, and
stimulate the economy. Moreover, it would dramatically demonstrate
to the American people that the message they sent last November
was heard and that Congress intends to abide by their wishes.
Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
References
(1) Timothy Noah, "So, What Do People At Energy Department
Do All Day Long?" The Wall Street Journal, December 15, 1994,
p. A1.
(2) Roger Pilon, "Freedom, Responsibility, and the
Constitution: On Recovering Our Founding Principles," Notre
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(3) Ibid., pp. 533-538. See also Richard Epstein, "The
Proper Scope of the Commerce Power," Virginia Law Review,
Vol. 73, 1987.
(4) Michael McKenna, "Power Failure: Let's Pull the Plug on
Federal Energy Programs," Policy Review, Winter 1994, p. 84.
(5) Douglas Bohi, "Thinking Through Energy Security
Issues," The American Enterprise, September/October, 1991,
p. 34.
(6) Robert L. Bradley, "What Now For U.S. Energy Policy? A
Free Market Perspective," Policy Analysis no. 145, Cato Institute,
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(7) See generally Stephen Moore, "The Coming Age of
Abundance," The True State of the Planet, Ronald Bailey, ed.
(New York: Free Press), 1995, pp. 109-139.
(8) For a review of the literature, see Richard L. Gordon, An
Economic Analysis of World Energy Problems (Cambridge, MA: MIT
Press), 1981.
(9) See generally Morris Adelman, "Oil Fallacies,"
Foreign Policy, Spring 1991.
(10) Robert L. Gordon, "IAEE Convention Speech: Energy,
Exhaustion, Environmentalism, and Etatism," The Energy Journal,
Vol. 15, No. 1, 1994, p. 2.
(11) Colin Robinson, Energy Policy: Errors, Illusions, and Market
Realities, Occasional Paper No. 90 (London: Institute of Economic
Affairs) 1993, p. 50.
(12) Federal Facilities: Agencies Slow to Define the Scope and
Cost of Hazardous Waste Site Cleanups, U.S. General Accounting
Office, RCED-94-73, June 1994.
(13) Russel, Colglazier, and English, "Hazardous Waste
Remediation: The Task Ahead," Hazardous Waste Remediation Project,
Waste Management Research and Education Institute, University of
Tennessee, December 1991, pp. 14-15.
(14) "Project Performance Study," Office of
Environmental Restoration and Waste Management, U.S. Department
of Energy, EM- 20, January 1994.
(15) "Cleaning Up the Department of Energy's Nuclear Waste
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(16) "Alternative Futures for the Department of Energy
National Laboratories, Task Force on Alternative Futures for the Department
of Energy National Laboratories," Secretary of Energy
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(17) "Hazardous Waste Remediation: The Task Ahead," pg.
16, 19.
(18) Ibid., p. 59.
(19) Ibid., p. 53.
(20) Ibid., p. 55.
(21) Ibid., p. 54.
(22) Ibid., p. 10.
(23) Ibid., p. 53.
(24) Ibid., p. 55.
(25) Ibid., p. 57.
(26) See, for example, "National Laboratories Need Clearer
Missions and Better Management," U.S. General Accounting Office,
GAO/RCED-95-10, January, 1995.
(27) Comments, "What is the Appropriate Federal Role in
Industrial R&D?" forum sponsored by the Institute for
Alternative Futures, April 12, 1995.
(28) "Historical Tables," Budget of the Unites States
Government, FY 1996 (Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office) 1995,
pp. 135-140.
(29) Maxine Savitz, "The Federal Role in Conservation
Research and Development," The Politics of Energy Research
and Development, John Byrne and Daniel Rich, eds. (New Brunswick,
NJ: Transaction Books) 1986, p. 92.
(30) "Success Stories: The Energy Mission in the
Marketplace," U.S. Department of Energy, April 1995, p. 1.
(31) Hazel O'Leary, testimony before the House Appropriations
Committee's Subcommittee on Energy and Water Development, January
19, 1995.
(32) Geoffrey Brennan and James Buchanan, The Reason of Rules
(Cambridge MA: Cambridge University Press) 1985, and Public
Choice and Constitutional Economics, James Gwartney and Richard
Wagner, eds. (Greenwich, CT: JAI Press/Cato Institute) 1988.
(33) Milton Friedman, Why Government is the Problem (Stanford,
CA: Hoover Institution) 1993, p. 11.
(34) Murray Weidenbaum, "A New Technology Policy for the
United States?" Regulation, vol. 16, no. 4, Fall 1993, p.
19.
(35) Margaret Kriz, "Fuels Errand?" National Journal,
October 17, 1992, p. 2355.
(36) "Alternative Futures for the Department of Energy
National Laboratories," p. 47.
(37) See generally Israel Kirzner, Discovery and the Capitalist
Process (Chicago: University of Chicago Press) 1985.
(38) "Success Stories: The Energy Mission in the
Marketplace," p. 3.
(39) Linda Cohen and Roger Noll, The Technology Pork Barrel
(Washington: The Brookings Institution) 1991, p. 378.
(40) "Alternative Futures for the Department of Energy
National Laboratories," pg. 45, 47.
(41) "Utilities and Their Customers: The Rural/Urban Nature
of Electric Utility Service Areas," National Council for
Urban and Economic Development (Washington: Edison Electric
Institute) July 1992, p. 2.
(42) See generally David L. Shapiro, Generating Failure: Public
Power Policy in the Northwest, (Lanham, MD: University Press of
America/Cato Institute) 1989, and Russell Klepper, "Federal
Participation in the Electric Industry: A Review and Assessment
of the Implications Upon Industry Restructuring," paper
presented at the Cato Institute conference "New Horizons in
Electric Power Deregulation," March 2, 1995.
(43) "Federal Energy Subsidies: Direct & Indirect
Interventions in Energy Markets," Energy Information
Administration, Office of Energy Markets and End Use, November
1992, p. 59.
(44) Ibid., p. 62.
(45) It would be appropriate that the proposed Working Group
include representatives from the Bureau of Reclamation, the Army
Corps of Engineers, the Department of Treasury, the Office of
Management and Budget, and nongovernmental industry officials,
investment bankers, and economists.
(46) "PMA Value to Taxpayers and Customers," EOP Group
(Washington: Edison Electric Institute), April 1995.
(47) Shapiro, p. 106.
(48) "Electric Sales and Revenue," Energy Information
Administration, Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric, and Alternate
Fuels, 1993, p. 5.
(49) "PMA Value to Taxpayers and Customers." (50) The
Energy and Water Development Act of 1992 (P.L. 102-37, Sec. 505;
106 Stat. 1315) stipulates that "None of the funds made
available under this Act ... or any other law hereafter shall be used
for the purpose of conducting any studies relating to leading to
the possibility of changing from the currently required 'at cost'
to a 'market rate' or any other noncost-based method for the
pricing of hydroelectric power by the six Federal public power
authorities." (51) Formed as a consumer counter weight to
OPEC, if any one of the 21-member nations loses 7 percent or more
of its crude, better situated members of the IEA are obligated to
share their supply.
(52) Joshua Gotbaum, "Oil Dependence & The Defense
Mission," testimony before the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations,
March 27, 1995, p. 2.
(53) "Rethinking Emergency Energy Policy," The
Congressional Budget Office, December 1994, quoted in
"Congressional Budget Office Calls for Changes in DOE's
Strategic Petroleum Reserve Policy," The Oil Daily, January
3, 1995, p. 7.
(54) Chantale LaCasse and Andre Plourde, "Towards an
Operational Definition of Security of Oil Supply," Coping
with the Energy Future: Markets and Regulations, proceedings of
the 15th Annual Conference, International Association for Energy Economics,
1992, p. F39-46.
(55) Daniel Yergin, "Energy Security in the 1990s,"
Foreign Affairs, Fall 1988, p. 112. (56) "Rethinking
Emergency Energy Policy," Congressional Budget Office,
December, 1994, p. 16.
(57) Ibid., p. 17.
(58) Robert L. Bradley, Jr., "Should the United States
Prepare for Another Oil Crisis?" Southern Regulatory Policy
Institute, Issue Paper no. 2, December, 1989, p. 3.
(59) Edward Erickson, "What Does It All Mean?" The
Energy Journal, Vol. 15, Special Issue, 1994, p. 349.
(60) Richard L. Gordon, "Energy Intervention After Desert
Storm: Some Unfinished Tasks," The Energy Journal, Vol. 13, No.
4, p. 5.
(61) Erickson, p. 349.
(62) "Energy Intervention After Desert Storm: Some
Unfinished Tasks," p. 6.
(63) Daniel Newlon and Norman Breckner, The Oil Security System:
An Import Strategy for Achieving Oil Security and Reducing Oil
Prices (Lexington KY: Lexington Books) 1975.
(64) See generally Jerry Taylor, "Energy Conservation: The
Case Against Coercion," Cato Policy Analysis No. 189, March 1993.
(65) See generally Matthew Hoffman, The Future of Electricity
Provision, Regulation (Washington: Cato Institute), Vol. 14, No.
3, 1994, pp 55-62; Robert Michaels, "Restructuring
California's Electric Industry: Lessons for the Other 49
States," (Houston: Institute for Energy Research) February
1995; and Robert L. Bradley, Jr., "The Electric
Restructuring Debate in California: Summary and Analysis,"
paper presented at Cato Institute policy forum, October 28, 1994.
(66) "Energy Choices in a Competitive Era: The Role of
Renewable and Traditional Energy Resources in America's Generation
Mix," Resource Data International (Alexandria, VA: Center
for Energy and Economic Development), April 1995, p. 3.
(67) Roy Cordato, "The Value Test: An Excercise in
Futility," paper presented at the Cato Institute conference,
"New Horizons in Electric Power Deregulation," March 2,
1992.
(68) See generally James Buchanan, "Introduction: LSE Cost
Theory in Retrospect," in LSE Essays on Cost, Buchanan and Thirlby,
eds. (New York: N.Y.U. Press) 1981; Roy Cordato, Welfare
Economics and Externalities in an Open Ended Universe (Boston:
Kluwer Academic Publishers) 1992; and Israel Kirzner, Market
Theory and the Price System (Princeton, NJ: D. Van Nostrand)
1963.
(69) See generally Jerry Taylor, "Energy Conservation: The
Case Against Coercion." (70) Robinson, p. 57.
(71) George Lobsenz, "Corporate Welfare Alive and Well at
DOE -- Just Ask Wal-Mart," The Oil Daily, March 1, 1995, p. 1.
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