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Relations between the United States and the People's Republic of China
have become increasingly confrontational in recent months. The bombing
of the Chinese embassy in Belgrade and the subsequent anti-U.S. riots
in various Chinese cities highlight the growing tension. So, too, do the
release of the Cox reportalleging more than two decades of systematic
nuclear espionage by the PRCand Beijing's heated denials of the allegations.
Is China a rising colossus that intends to bully its neighbors and dominate Asia? Does China regard the United States as the principal obstacle to its imperial ambitions? Does Washington need to adopt a more hard-line policy toward the PRC on trade, human rights, and national security issues? Or are some members of the U.S. political elite and foreign policy community exaggerating the Chinese threat because they are searching for a new enemy to justify bloated military budgets and other dubious measures? Experts from across the United States and Asia gathered at this one-day conference to address those and other important questions as the PRC celebrated its 50th anniversary. |
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| Hon. James R. Lilley | Martin Lee |
Yeung Wai Hong |
Kate Xiao Zhou |
Barry Naughton | Peter Rodman |
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| Robert Manning | Selig Harrison | Minxin Pei |
Thomas Rawski |
Mao Yushi |
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| 8:008:50 a.m. | Registration: Wintergarden |
| 8:509:00 a.m. |
Welcoming Remarks: Edward H. Crane, President, Cato Institute
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| 9:009:30 a.m. |
Keynote Address: "Taiwan in China's Future: Flashpoint, Model, or Partner?"
Hon. James R. Lilley, Former U.S. Ambassador to the People's Republic of China |
| 9:30 - 10:45 a.m. |
Welcoming Remarks, Keynote Address, and Panel I [RealVideo]
Panel 1: A Half Century of Turbulent Change Panel will focus on the many domestic, economic, social, and political changes that have occurred in China since 1949 and evaluate what kind of country China is today. Moderator: Mark Groombridge, Research Fellow, Center for Trade Policy Studies, Cato Institute Mao Yushi, Director, The Unirule Institute Kate Xiao Zhou, Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Hawaii at Manoa William McGurn, Member, Editorial Board, Wall Street Journal Liu Junning, Associate Professor, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Institute of Political Science |
| 10:45 - 11:00 a.m. | Break |
| 11:00 a.m. - 12:15 p.m. |
Panel II [RealVideo]
Panel 2: Friendly Neighbor or Threatening, Expansionist Power? Panel will deal with such issues as Taiwan, the PRC's claims to the South China Sea islands, relations with Japan, and relations with the United States. Moderator: Doug Bandow, Senior Fellow, Cato Institute Ted Galen Carpenter, Vice President for Defense and Foreign Policy Studies, Cato Institute Selig Harrison, Asian Specialist, The Century Foundation Marvin C. Ott, Professor of National Security Policy, National Defense University Peter Rodman, Director of National Security Programs, Nixon Center |
| 1:15 - 2:00 p.m. |
Luncheon Address and Panel III [RealVideo]
Luncheon Address: "Freedom: Can China Embrace It? Can Hong Kong Keep It?" Martin Lee, Chairman, Democratic Party, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region |
| 2:00 - 3:15 p.m. |
Panel 3: Looking to the Future
Panel will focus on the political and economic reforms that are still needed if China is to become a prosperous democratic country in the first decades of the 21st century. Moderator: Jo Kwong, Director of Public Affairs, Atlas Economic Research Foundation Minxin Pei, Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Yeung Wai Hong, Editor and Publisher of Next Magazine, Hong Kong Thomas Rawski, Professor of Economics and History, University of Pittsburgh David Li, Associate Professor of Economics, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology |
| 3:30 - 4:45 p.m. | Panel IV [RealVideo] Panel 4: Trade, Security, and Human Rights This panel will discuss such issues as WTO membership for the PRC, whether the trade deficit should be a matter of concern, whether trade should be linked to improvements in Beijing's human rights record, and whether tighter export controls are needed for national security reasons. Moderator: Stuart Anderson, Director of Immigration Policy, Sen. Spencer Abraham James A. Dorn, Vice President for Academic Affairs, Cato Institute Robert Manning, Senior Fellow, and Director of Asian Studies, Council on Foreign Relations Stefan Halper, Syndicated Columnist Barry Naughton, Associate Professor, Graduate School of International Relations and Pacific Studies, University of California at San Diego |
| 4:45 - 5:45 p.m. | Reception: Wintergarden |