Cato Institute
Policy Analysis
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U.S. and Japanese
theorized years ago that "alliances are typical-
perate North Korea might be tempted to sell
ly of temporary duration" because they rely on
nuclear materials to terrorists.
policymakers
a fragile "community of interests." The "tradi-
Short of offensive military operations
should seek to
tionally separate and frequently incompatible
against Pyongyang, Japan has other means for
craft a strategic
interests of the individual nations" tend to
defending itself from North Korean nuclear
erode support for the alliance over time.95 But
weapons independent of the United States.
partnership that
Japan has cooperated with the United States
such arguments do not account for the possi-
will endure long
in the construction of an anti-ballistic missile
bility that states, particularly states that share
system, but the further development and
a commitment to political and economic lib-
after Koizumi
deployment of such a system need not depend
eralism, might similarly share a broad concep-
and Bush have
on U.S. support. If active countermeasures for
tion of common strategic interests.
passed from the
dealing with regional security threats were
Today, Japan and the United States certain-
deemed insufficient, the Japanese might even
ly do share many common interests, and it is
scene.
take the fateful step of developing their own
worth pausing briefly to marvel at this
nuclear deterrent.94
remarkable transformation over the past 60
years. President Bush is particularly effusive in
In short, a Japanese military, operating
his praise of Prime Minister Koizumi. The two
independent of the United States but still con-
men share a genuine friendship, but U.S. and
strained by the pacifist impulses of the Jap-
Japanese policymakers should seek to craft a
anese public, could prove a credible deterrent
strategic partnership that will endure long
to offensive actions by North Korea against
after Koizumi and Bush have passed from the
Japan proper and might also succeed in con-
scene. Under the current arrangement, the
vincing the DPRK to abandon its nuclear
United States pledges to defend Japan in
ambitions, in contrast to U.S. economic and
exchange for basing rights. In addition, how-
diplomatic pressure, which has been complete-
ever, Japan's security dependence has led the
ly ineffective. Beyond the North Korean crisis,
Japanese to defer to the United States on
Japanese military power might prove instru-
regional security issues. More recently, Japan
mental for dealing with future serious chal-
has sent a token force to a far-off land in order
lenges to the regional security order.
to curry favor with its benevolent patron, but
not necessarily out of a sense of shared strate-
Conclusion
gic objectives. This is not a sustainable model
over the long term.
The decades-long U.S.-Japan strategic part-
Defending Japan with Japanese Forces
nership is changing. Americans are becoming
The Bush administration is contemplating
increasingly anxious about the costs and risks
a shift in the U.S. military's global posture in
of our permanent global military presence and
many other places around the globe, including
are looking for ways to devolve security respon-
Europe and South Korea. Those changes are
sibilities and reduce our risk exposure. The
long overdue, and they should be accelerated.
Japanese, although retaining a strong anti-mili-
The presence of U.S. troops in stable, demo-
tarist disposition, are willing to play a more
cratic countries that are capable of playing a
assertive role. The Japanese SDF is already high-
larger regional role might inhibit such coun-
ly capable, and Japanese military capabilities
tries from assuming responsibilities commen-
could quickly expand if the security environ-
surate with their political, military, and eco-
ment grows more threatening.
nomic strength. Although the United States
Americans and Japanese should welcome a
spends far more on its military than any other
transition from a patron-client relationship to
country in the world, policymakers must still
one of mutual trust and understanding based
make difficult choices about where U.S. forces
on shared interests. The renowned interna-
should or should not be deployed. But the
tional relations scholar Hans Morgenthau
19