That would be beneficial to both the
evolution of the U.S.-Japan strategic relation-
United States and Japan. To be sure, an equi-
ship depends, therefore, on more than the
table strategic partnership could make
words and actions of a few individuals at the
things more difficult for U.S. policymakers in
top; one must consider broader Japanese and
certain instances, but that is a chance worth
American interests and domestic public opin-
taking in the interest of devolving security
ion in both countries.
responsibilities away from the United States
and lowering U.S. risk exposure. Reducing
Assessing Japanese
the global U.S. military presence is essential
Attitudes toward Future
to alleviating the considerable burdens on
U.S. taxpayers, who collectively spend more
Security Challenges
than 10 times as much on defense as do the
Japanese. U.S. policy should seek to acceler-
A U.S.-Japan strategic relationship that
ate Japan's emergence as a more effective mil-
more closely resembles an alliance in the tra-
itary ally in the region.
ditional sense of the term, as opposed to the
Within the context of a more equitable
current patron-client relationship, is likely to
U.S.-Japan alliance, if Japanese forces were
be an enduring model for U.S.-Japanese secu-
Japanese
deployed to any country far outside the East
rity cooperation in the future, especially if it
and American
Asian region, their dispatch would be depen-
is based on popular support. Fortunately,
dent on Tokyo's assessment of Japanese secu-
popular sentiment within Japan offers still
officials alike
rity interests and therefore would be far more
more clues about how the three cases dis-
have bent over
likely to enjoy the support of the Japanese
cussed above might play out in a future in
backwards to
public. Under the current patron-client rela-
which Japan behaves as a normal country,
tionship, Japanese and American officials alike
that is, as a country responsible for defending
place the small
have bent over backwards to place the small
its interests, and not dependent on the
number of SDF
number of SDF troops in a location where
United States.
they are unlikely to be exposed to harm; by
Of the three cases discussed above, popular
troops in Iraq in
extension, this small number of troops is not
support for an active role by Japanese military
a location where
measurably contributing to the completion of
forces is weakest with respect to Iraq. Japanese
they are unlikely
the mission in Iraq; nor are they substantially
elites place great importance on retaining the
reducing the threat to other Coalition forces.
favor of their security patron. It is unlikely that
to be exposed to
In short, their presence is almost entirely sym-
there would be Japanese forces operating in Iraq
harm.
bolic and has little, if any, strategic value.
today were it not for U.S. pressure, and the
Nonetheless, Prime Minister Koizumi
Japanese may be reluctant to become involved
risked some political capital, as well as time
in similar military missions in the future.
and attention, rallying a modicum of public
However, lingering anti-militarism within
support for an exceedingly modest, even
Japan does not proscribe the SDF from serving
token, military deployment. And while the
in the more ambiguous role of security provider
Japanese agonized over the dispatch of a few
in postconflict settings, with or without U.S.
hundred troops to a country thousands of
encouragement. If the pattern of SDF peace-
miles away, China ratcheted up its threats
keeping established in the 1990s were to con-
against a democratic entity a few hundred
tinue, or even expand, that should not be seen
miles away from Japan and North Korea con-
as a manifestation of resurgent Japanese mili-
tinued to process nuclear material. At best,
tarism. On the other hand, it seems more likely
Japan's conduct seems a case of misplaced pri-
that, in the absence of U.S. pressure to become
orities and confusion over Japan's strategic
more actively involved around the world, a
interests; at worst, Japan has subordinated its
more independent Japan would use its military
own interests to those of its distant patron.
forces to deal with issues more directly relevant
As noted above, the Japanese public
to its own national security.
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