U.S.-Japanese
Japanese citizens.80 When North Korea admit-
has resisted calls for such penalties against
North Korea, yet he retains the ability to
ted to some of the abductions in September
relations have
impose them, a power explicitly granted to
2002, tensions between the two countries
been shaped in
him by the Japanese Diet in early 2004.86 On
increased. Koizumi's second trip to Pyongyang,
the post-9/11
in May 2004, was largely aimed at resolving the
the other hand, Koizumi did halt 250,000 tons
abductee issue. Hopefulness gave way to recrim-
of food aid to North Korea in December
world by
2004.87 Other legislation cut off an estimated
ination by the end of 2004, when Tokyo
Prime Minister
demanded a full accounting from the DPRK.
$38 million in yearly remittances sent to
North Korean officials admit to only 17
North Korea by Koreans living in Japan. A new
Koizumi's strong
abductees, but there may be as many as 400.81
shipping law passed in March 2005 indirectly
and growing
penalizes North Korea because it blocks for-
The enormous disparity between these figures
personal
eign ships of 100 tons or more from entering
plays into wider doubts in Japan about the
Japanese ports unless the ships are insured
veracity of North Korean claims with respect to
friendship
against oil spills and other damages, and few
weapons development and regional security.
with President
North Korean ships meet the requirements.
One tangible manifestation of growing dis-
Bush.
Although the shipping regulation did not
satisfaction with North Korea is declining
specifically mention North Korea, Japanese
financial support from individual Japanese citi-
officials said it was "drawn up with the hermit
zens for the impoverished country. Charitable
state in mind."88
donations to nongovernmental organizations
that help North Koreans have declined fivefold,
North Korea is a leading foreign policy issue
from 50 million yen to under 10 million yen,
for most Japanese, who have increasingly nega-
within the past 10 years. Michiya Kumaoka,
tive views of their neighbor. The problems are
head of the Japan International Volunteer
twofold. On the one hand, the military threat,
Center, estimates that the amount of aid that
particularly the nuclear threat, creates growing
apprehension.89 On the other hand, the highly
Japanese people donate to the 10 or 15 food
agencies active in North Korea has also declined
emotional issue of the abductees is omnipres-
sharply since 1998.82
ent in the Japanese media.
Without question, U.S.-Japanese relations
Opposition to the Jong-il regime is partic-
have been shaped in the post-9/11 world by
ularly strong in some circles. Some of Japan's
Prime Minister Koizumi's strong and growing
most famous and respected citizens partici-
personal friendship with President Bush. In
pated in a three-day "sit-in" in June 2005 in
each of the three cases discussed above,
front of the prime minister's office, demand-
Koizumi strove to align Toyko's policies with
ing that Koizumi impose economic sanc-
tions against North Korea.83
those emanating from Washington. But this
has not always been easy and he was anxious
Koizumi is now caught between "intense
not to get too far ahead of (or fall behind) pub-
domestic political pressure" to sanction North
lic opinion. Although Koizumi reasserted and
Korea, explains East Asia specialist Gavan
consolidated political power in the most recent
McCormack of the Australian National Uni-
elections, and his standing remains high both
versity, and "intense external pressure, notably
within the LDP and within Japan as a whole,
from the government of the United States, for
the fragility of the political process requires
which nuclear matters far outweigh the abduc-
tions."84 Koizumi must react to the twin crises
that policy be based on more than personal
friendships. In each of the three crises dis-
without provoking the North Koreans, while
cussed above, a Japanese prime minister less
addressing demands for toughness on the part
closely aligned with the United States might
of his constituents and from his strategic
well have behaved in a different fashion.
patron, the United States.
Indeed, the opposition DPJ has long advocated
North Korea warns that any economic
a more independent posture vis-à-vis the
sanctions imposed by Japan would be regard-
ed as a "declaration of war."85 So far, Koizumi
United States.90 The key to understanding the
16