rather than extermination."9
Serbs conformed closely to the usual pattern
of guerrilla wars. The Serbian army's late-
Although the brutality of Belgrade's
March offensive in Kosovo was a response to
actions should not be minimized, such
KLA actions, "including the ambushing of
actions are not unusual in the context of
Serbian police patrols and officials by
guerrilla warfare. More to the point, they
Albanians and several instances of the kid-
were not a "horrific slaughter," or "geno-
naping and killing of Serbian civilians."7
cide," as repeatedly alleged by U.S. and
NATO officials.
Certainly, Serbia's prebombing campaign
against the KLA was harsh. Nevertheless, the
Precedents for Belgrade's Counterinsur-
total number of fatalities (including Serbian
gency Tactics
casualties) before the onset of the NATO
Students of counterinsurgencies will rec-
bombing campaign was approximately
ognize the similarities between the Serbs' tac-
2,000, a relatively low figure compared with
tics in Kosovo and those of the French in
those for other internecine conflicts in the
Algeria, the British in the Boer War, and the
1990s. Before the onset of NATO's air cam-
Americans in the Philippines and Vietnam.
paign, Belgrade's objective was not to forcibly
As military analyst Jeffrey Record says of U.S.
expel ethnic Albanians from Kosovo but
tactics in Vietnam:
rather to remove them from KLA strong-
holds, thereby depriving the KLA of its base
The evidence, including the wide-
of support.
spread declarations of free-fire zones
Once the bombing began, however, the
in "enemy"-controlled regions, strongly
Serbian campaign in Kosovo intensified as
suggests that firepower was deliber-
Belgrade moved (apparently according to a
ately employed to depopulate--by
previously formulated contingency plan) to
death or abandonment--entire rural
crush the KLA and to expel large numbers of
areas of Vietnam. During the war, at
ethnic Albanians from Kosovo. That cam-
least 50% of South Vietnam's peas-
paign had an immediate military objective:
antry was involuntarily urbanized by
combat in the countryside. . . .
By expelling ethnic Albanians from
Between 1964 and 1974, South
Kosovo, Serbian forces aimed to
Vietnam's urban population went
restrict the guerrillas' base of support
from 15 to 65% of the country's total,
and cover. By controlling the borders
The Clinton
and by 1968 refugees alone accounted
and the devastated corridors along
administration
the major highways, the Serbs
for 5 million of South Vietnam's total
population of 17 million.1 0
planned to isolate and then eradicate
and NATO have
the Kosovo Liberation Army in the
depicted Serbian
forests and mountains.8
The ferocity of the war between the Serbs
and the KLA in Kosovo was explained by the
actions in Kosovo
conflict's historical and ethnic dimensions.1 1
However, Belgrade also had a broader polit-
in the most chill-
ical objective: to reverse the demographic
In that respect, the war differed little from
ing light possible
trends in Kosovo, which, largely because of
previous Balkan conflicts. As a Carnegie
differential birthrates, have seen ethnic
Endowment report on the First Balkan War
but have remained
Albanians become almost 90 percent of the
(1912) observed:
silent about the
province's population. In stepping up their
human rights
actions in Kosovo following the start of the
The burning of villages and the exo-
NATO bombing, Serbian forces were, as
dus of the defeated population is a
atrocities perpe-
reported in the New York Times, "seeking to
normal and traditional incident of
trated by Turkey,
defuse a potential demographic time
all Balkan wars and insurrections. It
bomb," but their goal was "depopulation
is the habit of these peoples. What
a NATO member.
4