Cato Institute
Policy Analysis
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Most Russian
contracts specifying payments in rubles;
Managers at some enterprises then diverted
moreover, the Russian government itself
the subsidies to buy dollars as a speculative
banks have not
should consider receiving dollars in payment,
hedge, rather than pay back wages owed to
functioned as
instead of or along with rubles. (For example,
workers. When inflation fell and real interest
banks at all.
when the United States was off the gold stan-
rates charged by the central bank rose after
dard during and after the Civil War, the U.S.
1995, Russian commercial banks borrowed
government accepted only gold--an interna-
dollars from abroad, to capitalize on the high
tionally acceptable currency--in payment of
real interest rates they could earn by buying
customs duties, while it accepted dollars for
government securities. In effect, the banks
other payments.) Finally, foreign banks in
gambled that the central bank would not
Russia should be free to accept deposits and
depreciate the ruble much. The Russian pub-
make loans in foreign currency subject to reg-
lic was less trustful and refrained from
ulations no more restrictive than those that
entrusting much of their savings to Russian
apply to rubles.9
banks except Sberbank, the state-owned sav-
ings bank. The August financial crisis amply
Making the dollar an official currency
confirmed the public's judgment.
should be a permanent measure, not a stop-
Unlike most Russian banks, the handful
gap pending reform of the ruble. The ruble as
of foreign banks operating in Russia both
it now exists is a remnant of socialism that
enjoy the confidence of consumers and lack
deserves to perish. Radical reform of the
access to subsidies from the Central Bank of
ruble to end its role as a currency of socialism
Russia and the Russian government.
is desirable; for example, the Central Bank of
Consequently, they have functioned as banks
Russia could be replaced by a currency board,
in a genuine capitalist monetary system do,
as we discuss below. But Russia's economic
channeling savings from depositors to bor-
development does not have to wait for the
rowers capable of turning a profit. As they are
government to get its act together on the
in many other countries where local banks
ruble, since Russians already use the dollar
are a powerful lobby, in Russia foreign banks
widely. Indeed, making the dollar an official
are severely restricted in the extent to which
parallel currency may hasten reform of the
they can compete with local banks. Outside
ruble by reducing the benefits the Russian
Moscow and St. Petersburg foreign banks
government can expect to obtain from creat-
have little presence. They are not allowed to
ing inflation with rubles.
establish big branch networks that could
Good Banks
compete with Russian banks in attracting
deposits from consumers and small busi-
A sound currency is a good first step to
nesses. Foreign banks have been legally pre-
promote economic growth in Russia, but it
vented from attracting scarce Russian savings
needs to be complemented by good banks.
and converting them into productive invest-
That is especially true, given the lack of well-
ments, while Russian banks have failed to do
developed capital markets in Russia, such as
so because Russians do not trust them and
markets for corporate bonds, that could sub-
because dealing in subsidies has been more
stitute for banks as devices for financing
lucrative than ordinary banking.
businesses. Most Russian banks have not
Because Russian banks had been system-
functioned as banks at all. They have not
atically wasting resources, their collapse in
gathered savings from depositors, screened
the August financial crisis was a blessing in
borrowers, and directed savings to the most
disguise, except to the extent that the govern-
profitable investments. Instead, between
ment is spending more money to rescue
1992 and 1995, they provided indirect subsi-
them. The collapse of the banks weakens sup-
dies by lending funds provided to them by
port for Russia's protectionist banking poli-
the Central Bank of Russia at low rates of
cies, opening the way for more foreign banks.
interest, relative to inflation at the time.
8