Sound Money
trying to prevent the ruble from being
devalued. Since it was spending its reserves
A capitalist monetary system requires a
of dollars without correspondingly decreas-
sound currency (a monetary base) for use in
ing the supply of rubles, the demand to
hand-to-hand payments and as reserves for
exchange rubles for dollars continued to
banks, and good banks that accept deposits
deplete its dollar reserves. On August 17 the
and make loans in that currency. A sound cur-
central bank gave up supporting the ruble
rency should maintain substantial value over
at the then-current rate of about 6.3 per
time, unlike the ruble, and should be widely
dollar. The central bank also imposed
and voluntarily accepted in payment. Russia
exchange controls on short-term invest-
already has a reliable base money: the U.S. dol-
ment by nonresidents, and the government
lar. Recall that Russians are estimated to hold
defaulted on its debt.
$40 billion or more in dollar notes alone,
The devaluation and default in effect
which is more than the value of all ruble notes
bankrupted many of the largest Russian
and deposits combined, and they hold billions
banks. They had a large proportion of
of dollars more in foreign bank accounts.
assets in Russian government debt, and
Russians favor dollars, not just as a store of
some had large unhedged dollar liabilities.
value (as is the case in some Latin American
They found their assets suddenly worth
countries), but for use in hand-to-hand pay-
much less, in rubles and especially in dol-
ments. The more important the payment is,
lars. The central bank and the government
the more likely Russians are to make it in dol-
have since announced plans to help the
lars rather than rubles. Ruble payments persist
worst affected banks but lack any way other
mainly in small transactions, such as grocery
than inflation to provide substantial help.
shopping, and in transactions in which the
government is directly involved or when it has
some ability to monitor payments. Larger
A Program for Reform
transactions beyond the easy reach of the gov-
ernment are made in dollars. The dollar is the
preferred currency of Russia's emerging capi-
The August financial crisis might seem
talist economy, while the ruble is the preferred
to make Russia's prospects for economic
currency of its decrepit socialist economy.
reform dimmer than ever. However, the cri-
Russia's currency crisis stems from the
sis creates a fresh opportunity for change,
government's attempt to force Russians to
for it reveals more clearly than ever the
use only rubles, despite the availability of the
socialist underpinnings of Russia's finan-
The government
dollar as a higher quality currency. To pro-
cial system and that system's uselessness as
mote a capitalist monetary system, the gov-
a foundation for developing a true market
should remove all
ernment should remove all barriers to using
economy. Setbacks to the ruble and to the
barriers to using
dollars or other foreign currencies in all
Russian banking system chip away at the
transactions. That means repealing the "de-
remnants of socialism. They also push
dollars or other
dollarization" measures of 1997 that, at least
efforts at reform in a more beneficial direc-
foreign curren-
on paper, restricted the ability of Russians to
tion, namely, toward building a capitalist
cies in all transac-
hold dollars and use them within Russia. It
monetary system in which the currency is
also means abolishing taxes on converting
sound and markets rather than the govern-
tions.
rubles into foreign currency, ceasing to
ment allocate credit.
require that Russians convert into rubles the
Building a capitalist monetary system in
foreign currency they receive, and removing
Russia does not require starting from scratch. The
the new restrictions that the government has
necessary institutions already exist in Russia or
imposed since last August on foreign-curren-
can be imported. The main obstacles to a cap-
cy transactions. Contracts specifying pay-
italist monetary system are political rather
ments in dollars should be just as legal as
than technical.
7