Cato Institute
Policy Analysis
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with the readiness of American forces to
perienced personnel and lack of spare parts
respond.
and munitions ("empty bins"). In fact, there
In sum, any military that can stabilize the
are at least ten different factors that con-
situation within a month after a sneak
tributed to the Hollow Force of the 1970s.
attack, conduct a complex amphibious land-
Before we get to them, a brief explanation is
ing in two and a half months, conquer the
needed of what might be called the semioffi-
enemy's homeland in four months, and then
cial definition of the Hollow Force.
respond to massive attack from the largest
The Hollow Force
army in the world is not a totally unready
military. In Desert Storm, it took the U.S.
In 1980 the term "Hollow Force" was
military--still at high states of readiness from
coined by Army Chief of Staff Gen. Edward
the Cold War--six months to build up in
"Shy" Meyer when testifying before Congress
almost ideal conditions before it dared to
on the condition of the Army. In that testi-
respond to the Iraqi military. In Korea, under
mony he actually talked about the lack of
the worst conditions, it took the supposedly
qualified personnel and the imbalance that
unready U.S. military only four months to
existed between the number of Army divi-
defeat the well-trained NKPA. Had the
sions and the number of personnel available
Much of the
Chinese not intervened, the Korean War
to fill those divisions.26 In 1979 he told
evidence of a
would be remembered not as the "forgotten
President Carter that only four of ten active
war" but as another Spanish-American "nice
divisions in the United States were capable of
Hollow Force is
little war." Compared with its performance in
deploying overseas in an emergency.27
anecdotal.
most other American wars--from the
However, the term was soon widely used
Revolutionary War to World War II--the U.S.
to characterize not just a lack of experienced
military did remarkably well even though it
personnel but a shortage of training and wea-
was a shallow force in 1950. Thus, readiness
pons--especially equipment, spare parts, and
of forces--measured by traditional indica-
munitions. The most vivid example came
tors--may be overrated as a predictor of suc-
from the Navy: the captain of the oiler USS
cess in combat.
Canisteo refused to get under way because his
ship was short of experienced crew. It was the
first active-duty ship in recent times that
The Hollow Force
refused to get under way because the captain
Reconsidered
thought it unsafe. More remarkable, instead
of being punished, the captain found himself
The so-called Hollow Force of the 1970s is
praised. There were also stories of ships hav-
interesting for three reasons. First, it is the
ing to "cross-deck" equipment--that is, trans-
example most often cited in today's military
fer munitions and spare parts from returning
debates. While "No More Task Force Smiths"
ships to those deploying.
is cited by the Army, almost everyone else
talks about the Hollow Force. Barely a week
A Closer Look
goes by without some politician or military
A closer look at the Hollow Force shows
analyst warning about returning to a hollow
that it involved much more than just poor
force. Second, the causal factors behind the
readiness. As the Congressional Budget
peacetime Hollow Force are more germane to
Office concluded, "Much of the evidence is
today's peaceful conditions than are the com-
anecdotal."28 A few books exist on the Hollow
bat conditions faced by Task Force Smith.
Third, and perhaps more important, "hollow
Force, such as James Kitfield's Prodigal Soldier,
force" means different things to different
but the definitive story has yet to be written.
people--which is understandable considering
"Hollow Force" is one of those terms that
the admittedly subjective nature of readiness
everyone uses but few have really defined.
itself. Semiofficially, the term refers to inex-
Nevertheless, from the scant literature avail-
9