Cato Institute
Policy Analysis
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budgets could afford to maintain. It was not
finest hour, there were many factors leading
just a hollow force but, in the opinion of
to its so-called rout. Readiness per se was real-
many, a mere shadow of a force.
ly only one--and not even the most impor-
American forces in the theater were not
tant. There were ten factors, seven major and
much better. The Eighth Army in Japan had
three minor, that explain the defeat of Task
four divisions at less than full strength.
Force Smith and other U.S. battalions at the
Furthermore, from 1945 to early 1949, that
beginning of the Korean War. Readiness
force was strictly an occupation force that
would rank as about the fifth of the major
conducted virtually no training. By mid-1949
factors.
both the American forces in Japan and the
A Superior NKPA. The NKPA had a larger,
ROK Army were starting to undergo training
well-trained, and well-equipped army. Critics
to increase their readiness, but in June 1950
of Task Force Smith usually fail to mention
the training was barely under way.
that the NKPA was a very capable, well-
Underestimation of the Enemy. The United
equipped force of some 135,000 men. It con-
States underestimated the enemy, one of the
sisted of over ten divisions: seven were con-
most basic of all military mistakes. Even
sidered combat ready and three were newly
those who should have known better made
activated. Also, about one-third of the force
Poor readiness
that mistake. Clay Blair, the author of The
was veterans of the Chinese civil war. In addi-
was only one of
Forgotten War: America in Korea, states that
tion, there was an armored brigade equipped
MacArthur "was guilty of grossly underesti-
with Russian T-34 tanks. All told, the NKPA
the many factors
mating the capabilities of the enemy."17 Maj.
had 150 tanks, which would prove crucial in
leading to the
the early days. The North Korean Air Force
Gen. William F. Dean, commander of the
rout of Task
had 200 Yak-9 fighters and Il-10 ground-
24th Army Division that first deployed to
attack bombers. When the Russians departed
Korea, thought the engagement would be
Force Smith.
North Korea in 1948, they left behind a well-
"short and easy."18 As Task Force Smith
trained army, which they continued to sup-
moved to the front, its members had an
port.
"overconfidence that bordered on arro-
By contrast, when the Americans departed
gance," according to one observer.19
the Republic of Korea (ROK) in 1948, they
Two days after the rout of Task Force
left behind a 50,000-man paramilitary con-
Smith, Dean wrote to MacArthur, "I am con-
stabulary armed with only light weapons. By
vinced that the North Korean Army, the
1950 South Korean president Syngman Rhee
North Korean soldier and his status of train-
had built a 95,000-man army, but it had no
ing and the quality of his equipment have
armor and only a few smaller artillery pieces.
been underestimated."20 Unfortunately, the
Despite repeated requests by Rhee, the
generals would make the same mistakes for
United States refused to supply South Korea
several more weeks. Perhaps the worst state-
with tanks, heavy artillery, or planes. There
ment of underestimation was President
were fears that Rhee might attack North
Truman's off-hand remark to a reporter
Korea--which he had threatened to do--and
(which he would come to regret) that this was
Washington did not want to give him the
a "police action."
means of doing so.
First Engagement Syndrome. There is an old
In general, American forces were not
military saying that "every unit breaks on ini-
much better off. The U.S. Army had ten divi-
tial contact." Unfortunately, that seems to be
sions manned at less than full strength; the
an old American trait. In both the Revol-
Air Force had 48 air groups that were under-
utionary War and the War of 1812, the
strength; and the Navy had about 250 ships--
United States lost most of the early engage-
only about half of which were at full strength
ments. It took the Union Army over a year to
and ready. The force was larger than
win a major battle. In World War I, it took
Secretary of Defense Louis Johnson's defense
over a year to get the Army ready. In World
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