Cato Institute
Policy Analysis
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1996), p. 2.
ment of NMD in the 104th Congress. He cited
the need to cut the federal budget deficit first.
19. Ibid.
8. Paul Simon, "Star Wars or Maginot Line?
20. Quoted in Bill Gertz, "Woolsey Warns U.S. on
Contract to Bankrupt America," Congressional
ABM Pact Change," Washington Times, September
Record, January 6, 1995, p. S572.
25, 1996, p. A8.
9. Quoted in Carnegie Endowment for
21. Ibid.
International Peace, "The Role of the ABM Treaty
and National Missile Defense," Proceedings from
22. Rumsfeld Commission, Report of the Commission
the START II, Missile Non-Proliferation, and
Missile Defense seminar held on February 14,
to Assess the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States
(Washington: Government Printing Office, 1998),
1996, p. 35.
p. 5.
10. Joseph Arminio, "Now More than Ever, the
23. William S. Cohen, U.S. Department of Defense
ABM Treaty Is a Deadly Sham," Wall Street Journal,
News Briefing, January 20, 1999, p. 2.
September 9, 1998, p. A22.
11. For a more complete treatise on this argu-
24. For more on the ballistic missile threat facing
the United States, see Timothy M.Beard and Ivan
ment, see William T. Lee, The ABM Treaty Charade:
Eland, "Ballistic Missile Proliferation: Does the
A Study in Elite Illusion and Delusion (Washington:
Clinton Administration Understand the Threat?"
Council for Social and Economic Studies, Journal
Cato Institute Foreign Policy Briefing no. 51,
of Social, Political and Economic Studies
February 11, 1999.
Monograph No. 25, 1997).
12. Ibid., p. 141.
25. Office of the Secretary of Defense, Proliferation:
Threat and Response (Washington: U.S. Department
13. Ted Galen Carpenter, Remarks made at Cato
of Defense, 1997), p. 10.
Institute policy forum, "Should the ABM Treaty
Be Scrapped?" September 2, 1998.
26. William M. Arkin, Robert S. Norris, and Joshua
Handler,  Taking  Stock:  Worldwide  Nuclear
14. Steven Lee Myers, "U.S. Asking Russia to Ease
Deployments 1998 (Washington: Natural Resources
the Pact on Missile Defense," New York Times,
Defense Council, 1998), p. 45.
January 21, 1999, p. A1.
27. Ibid., p. 46.
15. Robert Joseph and Keith Payne, "Ballistic
Defense: The Need for a National Debate,"
28. Ibid., p. 2.
National Defense University Forum no. 37, July
1995, p. 4.
29. Andrew Koch, "Taking Nuclear Weapons Off
Alert," Weekly Defense Monitor, January 22, 1998.
16. National Intelligence Estimate 95-19,
November 15, 1995, President's Summary, p. 1.
30. David Hoffman, "I Had a Funny Feeling in My
Gut," Washington Post, February 10, 1999, p. A19.
17. Ibid.
31. Bruce Blair, "The Plight of the Russian Military
18. General Accounting Office, Foreign Missile
and Nuclear Control" quoted in "Selections from
Rumsfeld Commission Roundtable Papers," Inside
Threats: Analytic Soundness of Certain National
Intelligence Estimates (Washington: GAO, August
21