ple warheads or countermeasures, such ex-
ity"63 and that "there is no reason why a sea-
pense is neither required nor warranted. To
based NMD system could not work."64
provide meaningful protection from a large
Those comments must be put into con-
accidental or unauthorized launch of Russian
text. To begin with, there is no Navy program
missiles with multiple warheads and counter-
to develop a sea-based NMD capability.
measures, a layered system is probably
Admiral Rempt's comments are primarily
required. But the high cost of such a system is
about the physical ability of the interceptor
not warranted because the threat has a low
missile to engage a long-range missile. In all
probability. And planning to build a sophisti-
likelihood, the limiting factor--or "Achilles'
cated NMD system might adversely affect the
heel"--would not be the interceptor but the
cordial renegotiation of the ABM treaty and
Navy Aegis SPY-1B radar's ability to detect
the stability of the nuclear balance between
and track missiles and/or warheads. That is,
the United States and Russia.
even if the interceptor has the capability to fly
Another impediment to deploying space-
out to long range and high altitude, the radar
based weapons is the requirement for heavy
that supports that interceptor must also be
lift capability to launch all the requisite sys-
able to see out to that range and altitude to
tems into orbit, to both deploy and replenish
acquire, discriminate, track, and engage the
A system includ-
the satellite constellation. Sufficient heavy lift
intended target. In other words, the system
ing space-based
capacity does not presently exist and would
cannot hit what it cannot see. Because ballis-
cost substantial sums to acquire.
tic missiles travel so fast, the target must be
weapons is nei-
seen soon enough to successfully engage it.
ther required nor
Sea-Based NMD
According to BMDO Director Lt. Gen.
warranted.
There have also been proposals to develop
Lester Lyles, "[t]here are limitations on the
a sea-based NMD capability. For example, the
SPY radar on the Aegis ship. . . . [The radar]
Heritage Foundation has proposed using the
does not give you the kind of range we need to
Navy Theater Wide (NTW) missile defense
have to do an NMD mission."65 General Lyles
system (also known as Navy Upper Tier) for
also cites "insufficient burnout velocity and
NMD.60 (In contrast to NMD, which is
the inability of the Navy's Light Exo-Atmos-
pheric Projectile [LEAP] seeker to discrimi-
designed to defend the American homeland
nate adequately between debris, decoys, and
from long-range ballistic missiles, theater
actual reentry vehicles" as reasons why a sea-
missile defense (TMD) systems are designed
based system does not meet the mission
to protect allied nations and U.S. forces in an
requirements for NMD.66 "Insufficient burn-
overseas theater of war from enemy shorter-
range ballistic missiles.) Former Reagan
out velocity" means that the interceptor has
administration officials Frank Gaffney and
insufficient velocity to hit ICBMs, which trav-
Sven Kraemer have also advocated using Navy
el faster and at higher trajectories than theater
TMD systems for national missile defense.61
missiles.
The projected radius for the area that
There seems to be substantial doubt, even
NTW can defend is several hundred kilome-
among knowledgeable military leaders, about
ters, which is largely a function of the capabil-
whether the Navy's proposed Theater Wide
ities of the SPY-1B radar. Cueing from space-
TMD system can provide NMD capability.
based sensors would extend the radar's effec-
Rear Admiral Rod Rempt, deputy assistant
tive range and thus the range of the intercep-
secretary of the Navy for theater combat sys-
tor. But there is not likely to be a quantum
tems, stated that the NTW block I system
leap in the effective range. Therefore, for inter-
"cannot deliver strategic deterrence (i.e.,
cepts of missiles in their terminal phase of
NMD capability) even if the Navy wanted it
descent, an Aegis cruiser/destroyer with an
to."62 However, Admiral Rempt has also stated
NTW capability would have to be positioned
that "NTW block II will have [NMD] capabil-
17