Cato Institute
Policy Analysis
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Page 12
taxpayers a return on investment of $7.16 on the dollar."60
Advocates rely heavily on that cost/benefit analysis to
make their case that preschool is an investment that more
than pays for itself in the long term.
The High/Scope researchers' interpretation of the
long-term findings is that the preschool program prepared
children for kindergarten, which resulted in a more posi-
tive reaction by kindergarten teachers that, in turn,
caused the children to have a stronger commitment to
school.  That is sometimes called the snowball hypothesis.
Three researchers from Yale University explain: "The snow-
ball hypothesis presumes that children who attend quality
intervention programs are better prepared socially and aca-
demically when they begin school.  This enables them to
interact positively with their teachers, who in turn
relate positively to them, and this tone of adult-child
relationships continues in progressive years of school."61
Others posit that the home visitation component was large-
ly responsible for the results.  They hypothesize that
people became more effective parents as a result of their
involvement in the program.  Experiences such as building
relationships with teachers may help parents establish a
more supportive home environment and effective "home-school
linkages."62   At any rate, there is no consensus on what
components of the program were responsible for the chil-
dren's gains.  The critical question remains, how could a
one- or two-year half-day preschool program produce such
outstanding results?
The High/Scope researchers have been subject to heavy
criticism for using nonstandard significance levels.  If
standard significance levels are used, many of the most
"significant" differences between the experimental and con-
trol groups disappear.63   Psychology professor Charles
Locurto of the College of the Holy Cross in Massachusetts
argues that the Perry results are less remarkable when all
findings, not just those that favor Perry, are considered.
He writes:
We might marry the large number of nonsignificant
and unfavorable findings into a different picture
of the Perry Project's outcomes.  We might argue
that preschool training resulted in no differ-
ences in school motivation or school potential at
the time of school entry, no lasting changes in
IQ or achievement test performance. . . . There
were no differences in their average grades as
compared to former control-group children, in
their personal satisfaction with their school
performance or in their self-esteem.  Their par-