Cato Institute
Policy Analysis
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Page 29
6.  Sig Hecker, director, Los Alamos National Laboratory,
Letter to Sen. Jon Kyl, September 24, 1997, as entered
into the record of a hearing before the Subcommittee on
International Security, Proliferation, and Federal Services
of the Senate Committee on Governmental Affairs, October
27, 1997 (S. Hrg. 105-267), p. 81.
7.  Vic Reis, assistant secretary, U.S. Department of
Energy, Written responses to questions for the record from
Sen. Thad Cochran, April 1998.
8.
Ibid.
9.  The number of weapons production plants has fallen
from 14 to 8, and the personnel have been reduced from
57,935 in 1990 to 24,384 in 1997.  See Medalia, pp. 7-8.
10. Senator Kyl asked, "What yield of testing would be the
lowest possible to accomplish new designs as well as safe-
ty and reliability?"  Bruce Tarter, director of Lawrence
Livermore National Laboratory, replied, "If we were to
resume testing, the lowest useful test for safety issues
would be a few pounds, and for a reliability test around
500 tons."  Tarter, p. 27.  Sig Hecker, in answer to the
same question, replied, "I believe that most designs could
be tested at yields between 1 and 10 kilotons."  Hecker,
p. 84.
11. An argument could be made that yields even smaller
than 500 tons could be militarily significant in some sce-
narios.  For example, some nations testing a device with
an extremely low yield might be satisfied simply because
they demonstrated that their warhead designs worked.
12. The effects of "decoupling" are well documented.  For
example, the United States conducted two nuclear tests in
the Tatum salt dome located at Chilton, Mississippi.
Sterling, the test conducted on December 3, 1966, had a
yield of 380 tons.  The apparent seismic yield was only
5.3 tons, a reduction by a factor of 71.7.
13. Experts' opinions vary on the size of the largest
explosion that could be easily decoupled.  Ten kilotons is
probably the upper limit.
14. Testing with a few pounds of yield is useful for
ascertaining nuclear weapon safety.  Testing the reliabili-
ty of complex U.S. nuclear designs can be done at subkilo-
ton levels.  However, other nations, such as Russia, may
use different types of designs whose reliability could be