Cato Institute
Policy Analysis
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Page 14
tutes a nuclear test.  If other nations chose to apply a
less restrictive definition than does the United States,
they could conduct very low-yield tests in which the
nuclear energy released was less than, for example, a
four-pound equivalent of high explosives--what the United
States refers to as hydronuclear testing.  Hydronuclear
tests can offer significant advantage to other nuclear
weapons states by helping them to improve their under-
standing of fundamental nuclear weapons physics; develop
new weapons concepts; ascertain existing weapons' reliabil-
ity; and exercise the skills of scientists, engineers, and
technicians.
Very low-yield tests would almost certainly go unde-
tected.  But, even if such tests were exposed by some
means, the nation conducting the tests could simply argue
that they are legal under the treaty.  And that nation
would have the historical CTBT negotiating record on its
side.  Drafts of the CTBT before the Clinton administra-
tion allowed for low-yield "permitted experiments."
Despite the fact that the CTBT does not define what
constitutes a nuclear test, the Clinton administration
adopted a formal, unilateral U.S. interpretation that the
test ban outlaws any tests or experiments unless they are
"zero yield."  This interpretation prevents the United
States from conducting hydronuclear experiments, which had
previously been used to assess the safety of U.S. nuclear
weapons and have played an important role in maintaining
U.S. nuclear weapons expertise and test readiness.16
Simulations cannot substitute for such low-level experi-
ments.17
In summary, the verification regime of the CTBT
increases international capabilities to detect nuclear
tests at yields higher than 1 kiloton nonevasively con-
ducted, and up to 70 kilotons evasively conducted.  This
means that militarily significant testing can be conducted
with little or no risk of detection by either the IMS sys-
tem or the current supplemental capabilities of U.S. tech-
nical means.  The verification problems associated with
the CTBT are complicated by the fact that the treaty
includes no definition of what constitutes a nuclear test.
President Clinton's Safeguards Are Insufficient
The Clinton administration recognized that the CTBT
would diminish confidence in the safety and reliability of
U.S. nuclear weapons and that the CTBT has serious verifi-