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each state. The most recently published "State Government
Finances" data are for FY96. However, the Census Bureau's
annual "State Government Tax Collections" report is
available for FY97, and those data have been used in this
report. The more recent data on general fund expenditures
and revenues come from semiannual compilations of the
National Association of State Budget Officers, published in
"The Fiscal Survey of States." The data on enacted and
proposed tax rate changes come from several sources,
including NASBO's "The Fiscal Survey of States," the
National Conference of State Legislatures' annual "State Tax
Actions" publication, and the finance and tax offices of the
individual states.
24. State-by-state data on general fund spending and revenue
recommendations prior to FY91 were not available. Thus,
this variable does not reflect all of the earliest budget
recommendations of the four governors first elected before
1990. However, for the other 42 of the 46 governors in this
study, this variable does reflect every one of their
recommended budgets. This measure captures two effects that
are not reflected in the Census Bureau data, budget growth
since FY96 and governors' recommended budgets (as opposed to
enacted budget levels). For this measure we use annual data
compiled by the National Association of State Budget Offi-
cers. General fund data are far from ideal for measuring
total spending and revenue growth in a state. Those data do
not include certain types of nonappropriated spending, such
as pension fund spending and some entitlement outlays.
Furthermore, governors sometimes move items into and out of
the general fund to distort the degree of fiscal problems.
Despite those defects, the general fund data do for the most
part provide us with a fairly reliable picture of how the
states' spending patterns have changed since 1996.
25. For the five governors who were elected or took office
after 1996, this variable reflects only growth from FY97
through FY98. As does the previous variable, this one
reflects spending growth since FY96, which was not reflected
in the Census Bureau data.
26. See note 24 on expenditure variable 3.
27. See note 25 on expenditure variable 4.
28. As do the other two variables on recommended budget
levels, this variable reflects only tax cut and tax increase
proposals from FY91 and after.