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do not yet have
the complete Census Bureau data with which
to fully assess
changes that have been implemented by the
seven governors
who have taken office since 1995. There-
fore, for those
seven governors we rely strictly on general
fund budget and
revenue data and tax rate changes.
Grading Procedure
We examine 14 policy variables: 4 for spending, 5 for
revenue, and 5 for tax rates (2 of which have a weight of
only one-half). However, for the seven governors who have
taken office since 1995, two of the spending variables and
two of the revenue variables--the ones that are based on the
Census Bureau data--are excluded.
For each variable we use a procedure to standardize the
results, such that the governor with the worst score (e.g.,
largest increase) receives a zero and the governor with the
best score (e.g., largest reduction or smallest increase) a
100. We then assign an equal weight to each variable (with
the exception of the two tax rate variables that are
weighted at only one-half each, because we view them as of
less fiscal importance) and average the scores to obtain an
overall fiscal policy grade for each governor. We obtain
separate grades for spending and for taxes by averaging the
scores earned in each category.
Policy Variables Examined
One objective of our analysis is to present a compre-
hensive picture of the budget and tax changes recommended
and approved by each governor. To make meaningful compari-
sons of the levels of spending and revenue in the states, we
must first control for the substantial differences in the
size of the states' populations and economies. To do that,
government spending and tax figures are typically expressed
as a ratio of one of two economic variables: population and
personal income. All but one of the revenue and spending
variables we use in this report are expressed in this way,
that is, per capita or per $1,000 of personal income. (The
one exception is the variable for recommended tax cuts or
increases as a percentage of prior year's expenditures.)
Adjusting for the size of state economies also allows
us to make more meaningful comparisons of the growth of
revenue and spending in the states. For example, assume
that a tax rate reduction in a particular state fosters
higher economic growth, as we would expect. The growth of
state revenue collections should rise as a result of that