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John A. Kitzhaber of Oregon, Lawton Chiles of Florida, and
Mel Carnahan of Missouri.
Several trends uncovered in our report warrant special
mention. First, there has been a clear trend toward more
spending at the state level since our last report card in
1996. The national economic expansion has filled state cof-
fers with revenues, and many governors have recommended from
modest to major new expenditures of those windfall funds.
This year numerous governors--both Republicans and Demo-
crats--recommended increasing spending by more than 7 per-
cent, roughly three times the rate of inflation. For the
past three years state spending has grown roughly 50 percent
faster than federal expenditures. The New York Times re-
cently headlined a report on the budget proposals of the
governors of northeastern states, "Spending, Not Tax-
Cutting, Draws Focus of Governors." Political reporters
David Broder and Dan Balz of the Washington Post noted ear-
lier this year that GOP governors "have learned to be con-
2
servative and pro-government at the same time."P
Many have
proposed the same types of spending initiatives that popu-
late Bill Clinton's budget requests. Hence, in our opinion,
the talk of a dramatic fiscally conservative trend in the
states has been exaggerated.
Second, the governors elected in recent years (in par-
ticular those elected in 1993 and 1994) have tended to be
more aggressive in cutting taxes than those first elected
before 1993. The top 8 governors in our report (and 14 of
the top 20) were elected in 1993 or 1994. None of those new
governors has pushed for income tax hikes in their first
terms, and most have recommended tax cuts of one kind or an-
other. Major income tax cuts have been enacted in New York
under George E. Pataki, Pennsylvania under Tom Ridge, Con-
necticut under John G, Rowland, Oklahoma under Frank Keat-
ing, and New Jersey under Christine Todd Whitman. For this
reason, only two of the 1994 class of governors received a
grade worse than C.
Third, the northeastern states in particular have moved
in a most fiscally conservative direction in the last four
years--thus reversing the tax-and-spend policies of previous
governors, such as Lowell Weicker of Connecticut, Jim Florio
of New Jersey, Michael Dukakis of Massachusetts, and Mario
3
Cuomo of New York.
Although the northeastern states are
still 20-30 percent above average in tax burden and per cap-
ita spending, as the trend toward pro-growth tax cutting has
continu4 d, their relative economic performance has im-
e
proved.