<<  <  >  >>

pared for the Stern Review on the Economics of Climate

William Nordhaus, The Stern Review on the Economics

Change.)

of Climate Change, 2006, http://www.nordhaus.econ.

yale.edu/SternReviewD2.pdf; Richard S. J. Tol and

6. Indur M. Goklany, "Integrated Strategies to

Gary Yohe, "A Review of the Stern Review," World

Reduce Vulnerability and Advance Adaptation,

Economics 7, no. 4 (October­December 2006); and

Mitigation, and Sustainable Development," Miti-

Robert O. Mendelsohn, "A Critique of the Stern

gation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, doi:

Report," Regulation 29, no. 4 (2006): 42­46.

10.1007/s11027-007-9098-1 (2007).

12. Stern Review, p. 2.

7. The Fast-Track Assessment (FTA) results for the

13. IPCC, Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (New

impacts of climate change on food, agriculture,

York, Cambridge University Press, 2000).

water resources and coastal flooding were a promi-

nent part of a 2005 UK government-sponsored

14. Nigel W. Arnell et al., Global Environmental

symposium staged as part of the run-up to the

Change 14, no. 1 (2004): 3­20.

2005 Gleneagles Summit of the G-8. See U.K.

Department of Environment, Food and Rural

15. The "FI" in "A1FI" indicates that this scenario

Affairs (DEFRA), Symposium on Avoiding Dangerous

is fossil fuel intensive.

Climate Change (Exeter, UK, February 1­3, 2005),

http://www.stabilisation2005.com/programme.ht

16. Arnell et al., Global Environmental Change.

ml; as well as the more recent Stern Review on the

Economics of Climate Change (2006). Prior to that,

17. Martin L. Parry et al., "Effects of Climate

Her Majesty's chief science adviser Sir David King's

Change on Global Food Production under SRES

(2004) claim that "climate change is the most

Emissions and Socio-Economic Scenarios," Global

severe problem that we are facing today--more seri-

Environmental Change 14, no. 1 (2004): 53­67; Nigel

ous even than the threat of terrorism" was based, in

W. Arnell, "Climate Change and Global Water

part, on older FTA estimates which were published

Resources: SRES Emissions and Socio-Economic

in another special issue of Global Environmental

Scenarios," Global Environmental Change 14, no. 1

Change. See Indur M. Goklany and David A. King,

(2004): 31­52; Robert J. Nicholls, "Coastal Flood-

"Climate Change and Malaria," letter to the editor,

ing and Wetland Loss in the 21st Century; Changes

Science 306 (2004): 55­57. The older FTA results

under the SRES Climate and Socio-Economic

were published in Martin L. Parry and Matthew

Scenarios," Global Environmental Change 14, no. 1

Livermore, eds., "A New Assessment of the Global

(2006): 69­86; and M. van Lieshout et al., "Climate

Effects of Climate Change," Global Environmental

Change and Malaria: Analysis of the SRES Climate

Change 9, S1­S107 (1999). Results of that FTA were

and Socio-Economic Scenarios," Global Environ-

used in the IPCC's 2001 assessment, while the cur-

mental Change 14, no. 1(2004): 87­99.

rent FTA results have been reported extensively in

the latest IPCC assessment. See IPCC, "Summary

18. P. E. Levy, M. G. R. Cannell, and A. D. Friend,

for Policymakers," in Climate Change 2007: Impacts,

"Modeling the Impact of Future Changes in

Adaptation and Vulnerability, www.ipcc.ch/SPM13

Climate, CO2 Concentration and Land Use on

apr07.pdf.

Natural Ecosystems and the Terrestrial Carbon

Sink," Global Environmental Change 14, no. 1 (2004):

8. DEFRA, Scientific and Technical Aspects of Climate

21­30.

Change, Including Impacts and Adaptation and Associ-

ated Costs (September 2004), www.defra.gov.uk/en

19. Indur M. Goklany, "Strategies to Enhance

vironment/climatechange/pdf/cc-science-0904.

Adaptability: Technological Change, Economic

pdf; J. M. Gregory et al., "A Model Intercomparison

Growth and Free Trade," Climate Change 30 (1995):

of Changes in the Atlantic Thermohaline Circula-

427­49; Goklany, "Integrated Strategies"; B. Smit, et

tion in Response to Increasing Atmospheric CO2

al., "Adaptation to Climate Change in the Context

Concentration," Geophysical Research Letters 32:

of Sustainable Development and Equity," in Climate

L12703, doi: 10.1029/2005GL023209; and IPCC,

Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptations and Vulnerability

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability, and Adaptation.

(Cambridge, MA: Cambridge University Press,

2001), pp. 877­912, and G. Yohe, "Mitigative

9. Stern Review, p. x.

Capacity: The Mirror Image of Adaptive Capacity

on the Emissions Side," Climate Change 49 (2001):

10. Ibid., pp. 156, 158.

247­62.

11. See Ian Byatt et al., "The Stern Review: A Dual

20. Goklany, "Strategies to Enhance Adaptability,"

Critique, Part II: Economic Aspects," World Economics

Goklany, "Integrated Strategies"; G. Yohe, "Miti-

7, no. 4 (2006): 199­229; Robert M. Carter et al.,

gative Capacity"; and B. Smit et al., "Adaptation to

"The Stern Review: A Dual Critique, Part I: The

Climate Change."

Science," World Economics 7, no. 4 (2006): 167­98;

24