Transit's shares
iting Portland for the BBC.18 Portland "loves
tive consulting contract. His wife was also a
to ride" transit, said the New York Times.19 But
vice-president of Pacific Power & Light,
of Portland travel
Oregon's largest electric utility.15
the sad truth is that Portland's transit num-
and commuting
bers are little better than mediocre.
All in all, Goldschmidt was easily the
most powerful man in Oregon.16 In
are lower today
More than 97 percent of all motorized
passenger travel (and virtually all freight
response to that power, "the city and the
than they were
movement) in the Portland area is by auto-
Portland Development Commission went
before the city
mobile. Though transit's share of passenger
crazy," observes Lewis & Clark law profes-
travel has fluctuated between 1.8 and 2.6 per-
sor (and popular blogger) Jack Bogdanski,
began building
cent over the past 35 years, it has never made
"throwing money at Goldschmidt clients
light rail.
a significant dent in auto usage.
like there was no tomorrow, making all
sorts of dubious deals."17
Portland's transit agency, TriMet, accu-
rately brags that Portland transit usage grew
Was Portland's land-use and transporta-
faster than driving in the 1990s. But it fails to
tion planning system nothing more than a
mention that transit's share declined in the
giant real estate scam for Goldschmidt's
1980s, when the region's first light-rail line
clients and cronies? To help answer that ques-
was under construction. In 1980 more than
tion, this paper will first examine some of the
2.6 percent of motorized passenger travel in
benefits claimed for Portland's planning sys-
the Portland area used transit. By 1990, that
tem and then look at some of the costs.
had fallen to 1.8 percent. Over the next 12
years, it slowly climbed to 2.3 percent but still
The Portland Myths
remained well below the 1980 level. Since
2002 it has stagnated or slightly fallen.20
Portland planners and officials have done
Even if it were still increasing, the difference
their best to promote claims that their inte-
between 1.8 and 2.6 percent means taking
grated planning process is successful. In par-
less than 1 percent of cars off the road.
ticular, they say that
Because transit's major market is com-
muters, many prefer to measure transit by its
1. Investments in transit and land-use
share of commuting rather than of total pas-
changes promoted by planning rules
senger travel. During the 1970s, TriMet made
have significantly reduced auto use;
many improvements in bus service, including
2. Transit-oriented developments have
building a downtown transit mall, increasing
proven commercially successful and
bus frequencies, and providing commuters
have moved many people out of their
with park-and-ride stations. Between 1970
cars;
and 1980, total transit ridership tripled and
3. Rail transit has, in turn, stimulated
the share of commuters taking transit to
work increased from 7.0 to 9.8 percent.21
billions of dollars of land-use devel-
opments;
After construction began on Portland's
4. The urban-growth boundary and
first light-rail line, however, cost overruns
other planning rules have significantly
forced TriMet to raise bus fares and reduce
reduced sprawl; and
service. By 1990, four years after the light-rail
5. Portlanders love their plans.
line opened, only 6.7 percent of commuters
rode transit to work--less than in 1970.
Ridership recovered in the 1990s, but by
Myth #1:
2000 the share of commuters using transit
Portland Loves Transit
was still only 7.7 percent, well under the 1980
rate. By comparison, buses in Portland's rival
to the north, Seattle, carried a smaller per-
"Car junkies like me are becoming an
centage of travel than Portland in 1980, but
endangered species," enthused a reporter vis-
5