Cato Institute
Policy Analysis
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Page 28
slightly, and to punish with increased congestion those
people who continue to drive.
The False Panacea of Urban Rail
Electric-powered rail transit is a 19th-century tech-
nology that was quickly replaced by the automobile, which is
faster, more convenient, and not tied to an expensive rail
right-of-way.  Yet rail technology is a critical component
of New Urbanism.
In addition to the fact that rails are a solution to a
problem that would not exist if New Urbanists did not insist
on density, the main difficulty with rails is that they do
not work.  Compared with the auto, which "goes where you
want to go when you want to go, trains just don't cut it,"
says Garreau.  "Trains require you to go where someone else
wants you to go when someone else wants you to go."54
So why are proposed rail systems so popular?  As Ken-
neth Dueker of Portland State University's Center for Urban
Studies notes, rail is a "feel-good" issue: people support
it because they hope it will reduce congestion even though
they do not plan to ride it themselves.55
Another reason for strong support of rail is the "ro-
mance of the rails."  Jonathan Richmond, investigating the
myths behind rail transit, found that people "tend to reject
findings [about rail] which fail to confirm prior be-
liefs."56
ISTEA gives cities huge incentives to build enormously
expensive rail transit projects that will carry very few
people.  Central city officials and downtown interests want
to keep current jobs and residents in and attract new ones
to the city centers rather than the suburbs.  They see new
rail construction as an environmentally correct means to
that end.  Just as important is the fact that under ISTEA
the federal government pays at least half of the bill for
rail, so the high cost of new rail construction is viewed as
a virtue.  Although an expanded decentralized bus system
could carry far more people at far lower cost, buses do not
create local, though temporary, jobs that boost union and
construction-company support for politicians.
Examination of the actual results from rail lines that
have been built in the past two decades shows that nearly
all fail to meet the goals set for and provide the benefits
expected from them.