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individual insolvencies could be minimized, the likelihood
of contagion or systemic risk would be greatly reduced. As
discussed below, delays that have permitted financial insti-
tutions to become deeply insolvent before closure are pri-
marily due to regulatory, not market, failure.12
Second, before the introduction of the lender of last
resort in the United States, the failure rate of banks was
actually lower than that of nonfinancial firms, and losses
to depositors and other bank creditors were lower than to
creditors of nonfinancial firms.13 In addition, U.S. banks
held higher capital-to-asset ratios prior to safety net reg-
ulations. Recent international experiences suggest that
banks substitute government deposit insurance or public cap-
ital for private capital.14 Again, the safety net may have
made banks more, not less, fragile.
Third, Charles Calomiris and Joseph Mason have examined
in detail the bank panic that took place in Chicago during
June 1932.15 Although there did seem to be some temporary
confusion about the quality of bank assets and a short-lived
general depositor run, Calomiris and Mason do not find any
evidence of failure of banks that were solvent at the begin-
ning of the panic. The runs were directed primarily against
the weakest banks, which were the ones that failed. Thus,
even during the heights of bank panics of the Great Depres-
sion, depositor runs do not appear to have generated "conta-
gion" or "systemic" problems that caused otherwise solvent
institutions to fail.
Fourth, historically, bankers developed innovative con-
tracts to attenuate the likelihood of panic runs. One exam-
ple is the "option clause" that came to be a standard provi-
sion in private bank notes circulating in Scotland during
its 18th-century "free-banking" era.16 The option clause
gave bank directors the right to suspend specie payment for
up to six months, but the bank then promised to pay a high
rate of interest on the notes during the period of suspen-
sion. This clause allowed the banks to stop "panic" runs
and to have more time to adjust to negative liquidity shocks
that might occur, thereby avoiding fire-sale losses. Also,
banks in Scotland had some form of extended or unlimited
liability covering their notes, rather than simple limited
liability. Those notes were widely and voluntarily accept-
ed, and the Scottish banking system showed much greater sta-
bility than did the English system during this period.
Finally, there is little historical evidence that per-
mitting banks to expand their portfolios to include equity
reduces stability. Eugene White shows that, during the