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other extreme, when income taxes are illegal, we have American-style capitalism, circa
1789. That is a black-and-white representation. Today, Americans live in a gray world
where the government takes and controls 35 percent of the country's yearly production.
Western Europe's economies are more socialist than ours, and their mediocre performance
is the end result. They have growth rates so low and unemployment rates so high--in
some cases more than double the current U.S. rate of 5 percent--that they would cost any
American president a second term. And, of course, the socialist disasters of Eastern
Europe make even the ailing West European economies look strong.
Sometimes it is difficult to see the big picture because of incremental thinking. An
increased tax of only a nickel a day per American supports a $5 billion per year subsidy.
With easy money and companies promising breakthroughs in health care, pollution
control, or electronics for "only" a few billion dollars, government often makes the wrong
choice. The road to socialism is paved with nickels-trillions of them--each taken with the
best of intentions.
The descriptions of Department of Commerce programs, such as the ATP, dazzle
us with possibilities: next-generation video compression; high-definition television
(HDTV); new-generation laser-based welding; a less polluting, more cost efficient painting
process; super-hard coatings of boron nitride; and so forth. All of those ostensibly com-
pelling and cost-effective reasons for corporate subsidies beg the question: if General
Motors has annual sales of $160 billion and $20 billion in the bank, why does GM refuse
to fund those research projects itself, and patent the results? GM is prominent in the ATP
programs. So are Ford, Chrysler, General Electric, AT&T, IBM, Black and Decker,
Honeywell, 3M, U.S. Steel, duPont, RCA, Phillips, MCI, Goodyear, Amoco, Kodak,
Polaroid, Xerox, Caterpillar, Westinghouse, and even Time Warner--apparently, Bugs
Bunny needs the taxpayers' money.
All those Fortune 500 corporations maintain that they need nickels from the
American taxpayer to bring their products to market.
There are two commonly cited reasons why such subsidies should continue. First,
some of the projects really are worthy and businesses are simply seeking a subsidy from
the government to get value from their extensive lobbying groups and the high taxes they
pay. The second reason is risk avoidance--companies want the government to help fund
projects that are long shots.
I believe that the "high-risk" argument used by the Commerce Department is
usually just an excuse for underwriting poor investments. Breakthrough ideas often
involve great risk, that is, a significant chance for failure. The important evaluation is
really not about risk but about return on investment. Risky ideas can be great, if they offer
huge returns. It is like gambling: A bet that has only a 1-in-10 chance is very risky, but it
is a big winner if it pays 100 to 1. Conversely, a bet that wins 9 times out of 10 has very