Thursday, October 29, 2009
Justin Logan, associate director of foreign policy studies:
Congress seems determined to diminish the already low chances of a diplomatic solution to Iran's nuclear program.
In addition to pushing forward with unilateral sanctions on Iran, Congress has now drawn up a bill stating that Washington "is wholly capable, willing, and ready to use military force to prevent Iran from obtaining or developing a nuclear weapons capability" and calling on the Pentagon to provide Congress with a sketch of available military options against Iran.
This bill will do two things: diminish the prospect of a diplomatic resolution to the problem, and burnish its supporters' nationalist credentials in the upcoming 2010 election. Unfortunately, Congress appears more interested in using the Iran issue as a domestic political football than it does in providing assistance to the Obama administration.
The Islamic Republic is a poor, weak country that lives in a rough neighborhood, has terrible relations with the world's largest power, and recently suffered heavy blows to its legitimacy. These are the realities that underlie Iranian diplomacy on the nuclear issue. Skittishness and erratic behavior is to be expected. The best way to help the process forward would be to keep the political temperature low, which could help lower Iran's threat perception and make it more receptive to diplomatic solutions.
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