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Does the U.S. Nuclear Posture Review Use Fuzzy Math?

Featuring J. D. Crouch, Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Policy; Morton H. Halperin, Council on Foreign Relations, Open Society Institute; Daniel Goure, Lexington Institute; and Charles Peña, Cato Institute.

The Cato Institute
1000 Massachusetts Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20001

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According to recent press reports, the Bush administration’s new Nuclear Posture Review, which outlines a new post-Cold–War concept of deterrence and justifies a reduction in strategic nuclear warheads to President Bush’s pledged goal of no more than 2,200, does not call for destroying the weapons removed from operational deployment. Instead, warheads could be put in storage. The review also recommends that the United States continue its moratorium on nuclear weapons testing but that the time required for any needed test should be reduced from two years to one year.

Is U.S. security enhanced more by storing weapons taken off operational status or by destroying them? Should the United States make preparations to resume nuclear testing more quickly or even begin testing again, or is either of those initiatives dangerous? Our panelists will discuss these issues and other implications of the Nuclear Posture Review.